MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS SERIES: Indonesia Economic Outlook Q3-2024 - The Vulnerability of the Economic Growth Engine

Jahen F. Rezki (), Teuku Riefky (), Faradina Alifia Maizar (), Muhammad Adriansyah () and Difa Fitriani ()
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Jahen F. Rezki: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Teuku Riefky: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Faradina Alifia Maizar: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Muhammad Adriansyah: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)
Difa Fitriani: Institute for Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI)

No 202403, LPEM FEBUI Quarterly Economic Outlook from LPEM, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia

Abstract: The first quarter of 2024 in Indonesia is full of various events. The momentum of the General Election, the Ramadan period, accelerated completion of infrastructure projects towards the end of the government term and several long holidays have encouraged an increase in domestic economic activity. As a result, Indonesia's GDP grew 5,11% in the first quarter of 2024, an increase from 5,04% (yoy) in the fourth quarter of 2023 and higher than the overall growth in 2023 of 5,05% (yoy). The combination of various seasonal factors can increase household consumption, government spending and infrastructure investment. Furthermore, sectors that rely on physical mobility, such as accommodation and food and beverage, transportation, health and social activities also enjoy high growth rates due to various seasonal factors. Information and communication, public administration and construction also grew drastically due to the holding of elections and increased government spending.

Keywords: gdp; —; economic; quarterly; —; economic; outlook; —; inflation; —; macroeconomics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-03, Revised 2024-03
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