CEPAC price forecasting in auctions at “Operacao Urbana Consorciada Agua Espraiada”: methodology and results (2008/2009)

Eduardo Rottmann, Heloisa Proença and Francisco Regis Perez

LARES from Latin American Real Estate Society (LARES)

Abstract: Since its implementation, in 2004, development rights granting inside borders of “Operacao Urbana Consorciada Agua Espraida” (a 500 hectare region at SW of Sao Paulo City) is done through CEPAC (“Certificado de Potencial Adicional de Cosntrucao”, or “Additional Development Rights Certificate”) acquisition, which are offered through public auctions by EMURB (“Empresa Municipal de Urbanizacao”, the SP City Urban Development Company). These certificates, issued by Banco do Brasil (BB) are stock market tradable and regulated by CVM (the Brazilian SEC). Among these regulations, a comprehensive marketability study is required from both EMURB and BB. For this purpose, a price forecasting methodology was developed for Banco do Brasil, based on primary and secondary market and development rights demand data, conjugating DCF and Montecarlo analyses. Results obtained, for both pre and post international crisis scenarios, were compared with pricing levels set at EMURB’s study, allowing the establishment of its certainty degree.

Keywords: cepac; Operacao Urbana Agua Espraiada; price forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-09-01
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://lares.architexturez.net/doc/oai-lares-id-lares2009-172-180-1-sp (text/html)
https://lares.architexturez.net/system/files/LARES_2009_172-180-1-SP.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lre:wpaper:lares2009_172-180-1-sp

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in LARES from Latin American Real Estate Society (LARES) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Architexturez Imprints ().