Working Papers

From Latvijas Banka
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2025/02: The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information

Ginters Buss and Guido Traficante

2025/01: Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area: Is this Time Different? Chapter I: Lags and Strength

Andrejs Zlobins

2024/07: One Who Hesitates Is Lost: Monetary Policy Under Model Uncertainty and Model Misspecification

Viktors Ajevskis

2024/06: Financial Intermediation and Climate Change in a Production and Investment Network Model for the Euro Area

Patrick Gruning and Zeynep Kantur

2024/05: Impact of sovereign debt maturity on fiscal sustainability

Antonio Afonso, Josee Alves, Olegs Matvejevs and Olegs Tkacevs

2024/04: Childhood circumstances defining the inequality of opportunity in Europe: what are the trees telling us?

Ludmila Fadejeva and Krista Kalnberzina

2024/03: Consumer price rigidity in the Baltic states during periods of low and high inflation

Ludmila Fadejeva, Valentin Jouvanceau and Alari Paulus

2024/02: Understanding How Job Retention Schemes Reshape the Within-Occupation Skill Profile of Employees within Firms

Konstantins Benkovskis, Olegs Tkacevs and Karlis Vilerts

2024/01: The transmission of trade shocks across countries: firm-level evidence from the Covid-19 crisis

Konstantins Benkovskis, Jaanika Meriküll and Aurelija Proskute

2023/09: Quantitative Tightening: Lessons from the US and Potential Implications for the EA

Patrick Gruning and Andrejs Zlobins

2023/08: Fiscal Sustainability and the Role of Inflation

Antonio Afonso, Josee Alves, Olegs Matvejevs and Olegs Tkacevs

2023/07: A Purpose-Based Energy Substitution Structure For CGE

Konstantins Benkovskis, Dzintars Jaunzems and Olegs Matvejevs

2023/06: Stranded Capital in Production Networks: Implications for the Economy of the Euro Area

Patrick Gruning and Zeynep Kantur

2023/05: Is There a Portfolio Rebalancing Channel of QE in Latvia?

Andrejs Zlobins

2023/04: Fiscal Performance under Inflation and Inflation Surprises: Evidence from Fiscal Reaction Functions for the Euro Area

Olegs Tkacevs, Karsten Staehr and Katri Urke

2023/03: Did Job Retention Schemes Save Jobs during the Covid-19 Pandemic? Firm-level Evidence from Latvia

Konstantins Benkovskis, Olegs Tkacevs and Karlis Vilerts

2023/02: The New Version of Latvian CGE Model

Konstantins Benkovskis and Olegs Matvejevs

2023/01: Keeping the best of two worlds: Linking CGE and microsimulation models for policy analysis

Konstantins Benkovskis, Ludmila Fadejeva, Anna Pluta and Anna Zasova

2022/06: Fiscal, Environmental, and Bank Regulation Policies in a Small Open Economy for the Green Transition

Patrick Gruning

2022/05: Into the Universe of Unconventional Monetary Policy: State-dependence, Interaction and Complementarities

Andrejs Zlobins

2022/04: Public investment crowds in private investment - with ifs and buts

Olegs Matvejevs and Olegs Tkacevs

2022/03: New Facts on Consumer Price Rigidity in the Euro Area

Erwan Gautier, Cristina Conflitti, Riemer P. Faber, Brian Fabo, Ludmila Fadejeva, Valentin Jouvanceau, Jan-Oliver Menz, Teresa Messner, Pavlos Petroulas, Pau Roldan-Blanco, Fabio Rumler, Sergio Santoro, Elisabeth Wieland and Helene Zimmer

2022/02: The Survival of Latvian Products and Firms in Export Markets

Konstantins Benkovskis, Peter Jarrett, Ze'ev Krill, Olegs Tkacevs and Naomitsu Yashiro

2022/01: Chasing the Shadow: the Evaluation of Unreported Wage Payments in Latvia

Konstantins Benkovskis and Ludmila Fadejeva

2021/03: Choosing the European Fiscal Rule

Ginters Buss, Patrick Gruning and Olegs Tkacevs

2021/02: On the Time-varying Effects of the ECB's Asset Purchases

Andrejs Zlobins

2021/01: Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth

Boriss Siliverstovs

2020/06: ZLB and Beyond: Real and Financial Effects of Low and Negative Interest Rates in the Euro Area

Andrejs Zlobins

2020/05: Fiscal DSGE Model for Latvia

Ginters Buss and Patrick Gruning

2020/04: Secular Decline in Public Investment: are National Fiscal Rules to Blame?

Olegs Tkacevs

2020/03: Wealth distribution and monetary policy

Ludmila Fadejeva and Zeynep Kantur

2020/02: Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data

Boriss Siliverstovs and Daniel Wochner

2020/01: Short-Term Inflation Projections Model and Its Assessment in Latvia

Andrejs Bessonovs and Olegs Krasnopjorovs

2019/04: Generalised Impulse Response Function as a Perturbation of a Global Solution to DSGE Models

Viktors Ajevskis

2019/03: Macroeconomic Effects of the ECB's Forward Guidance

Andrejs Zlobins

2019/02: Country-Level Effects of the ECB's Expanded Asset Purchase Programme

Andrejs Zlobins

2019/01: Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts

Boriss Siliverstovs

2018/05: On the design of stabilising fiscal rules

Wolf Heinrich Reuter, Olegs Tkacevs and Karlis Vilerts

2018/04: Spillovers from Euro Area Monetary Policy: A Focus on Emerging Europe

Soňa Benecká, Ludmila Fadejeva and Martin Feldkircher

2018/03: Export and productivity in global value chains: Comparative evidence from Latvia and Estonia

Konstantins Benkovskis, Jaan Masso, Olegs Tkacevs, Priit Vahter and Naomitsu Yashiro

2018/02: The Natural Rate of Interest: Information Derived from a Shadow Rate Model

Viktors Ajevskis

2018/01: Importance of EU Regional Support Programmes for Firm Performance

Konstantins Benkovskis, Olegs Tkacevs and Naomitsu Yashiro

2017/04: How Do Firms Adjust to Rises in the Minimum Wage? Survey Evidence fromCentral and Eastern Europe

Katalin Bodnar, Ludmila Fadejeva, Stefania Iordache, Liina Malk, Desislava Paskaleva, Jurga Pesliakaite, Natasa Todorovic Jemec, Peter Tóth and Robert Wyszynski

2017/03: Why is Education Performance so Different Across Latvian Schools?

Olegs Krasnopjorovs

2017/02: What drives export market shares? It depends! An empirical analysis using Bayesian Model Averaging

Konstantins Benkovskis, Benjamin Bluhm, Elena Bobeica, Chiara Osbat and Stefan Zeugner

2017/01: Wage Formation, Unemployment and Business Cycle in Latvia

Ginters Buss

2016/05: The Impact of Sovereign Bond Yields on Fiscal Discipline

Karlis Vilerts and Olegs Tkacevs

2016/04: The role of price and cost competitiveness for intra- and extra-euro area trade of euro area countries

Elena Bobeica, Olegs Tkacevs and Styliani Christodoulopoulou

2016/03: Relationship Between Inflation and Economic Activity and Its Variation Over Time in Latvia

Andrejs Bessonovs and Olegs Tkacevs

2016/02: A Term Structure of Interest Rates Model with Zero Lower Bound and the European Central Bank's Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures

Viktors Ajevskis