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Bugged Out: Locust Plagues, Migration, and Adaptation in 19th Century US

Luisito Bertinelli (), Aurélie Gillen and Eric Strobl ()
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Luisito Bertinelli: DEM, Université du Luxembourg
Eric Strobl: University of Bern, CH

DEM Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of locust invasions on internal migration and adaptive strategies in the late 19th-century United States. Using an instrumental variable approach based on wind patterns to predict locust presence, we show that individuals living in locust-affected counties were, on average, 10.9 percentage points more likely to leave their home counties between 1870 and 1880 compared to those in unaffected areas. Furthermore, farmers who relocated experienced a greater increase in their occupational income scores than those who remained. At the county level, we observe significant structural changes, including a substantial decline in the number of mid- and large-sized farms and a reduction in crop diversification in affected counties. These findings highlight adaptive responses to environmental crises and provide insights into migration and resilience during periods of extreme environmental shocks.

Keywords: locust plague; internal migration; agricultural development; adaptation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: N51 O13 O15 Q10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:luc:wpaper:25-07

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