Optimal Credible Warnings
Marie-Amélie Boucher and
Vincent Boucher ()
Cahiers de recherche CREATE from CREATE
We examine the impact of rainfall variability and cyclones on schooling and work among a cohort of teens and young adults by estimating a bivariate probit model, using a panel survey conducted in 2004 and 2011 in MadagascarÑa poor island nation that is frequently affected by extreme weather events. Our results show that negative rainfall deviations and cyclones reduce the current and lagged probability of attending school and encourage young men and, to a greater extent, women to enter the work force. Less wealthy households are most likely to experience this school-to-work transition in the face of rainfall shocks. The finding is consistent with poorer households having less savings and more limited access to credit and insurance, whichreduces their ability to cope with negative weather shocks.
Keywords: Flood warnings; Renewable resource management; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 Q28 C61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
https://www.create.ulaval.ca/sites/create.ulaval.c ... kakpoetal-2018-3.pdf (application/pdf)
Working Paper: Optimal Credible Warnings (2018)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lvl:creacr:2018-03
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Cahiers de recherche CREATE from CREATE Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Manuel Paradis ().