Crime, Fertility, and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence

Kyriakos Neanidis and Vea Papadopoulou

Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series from Economics, The University of Manchester

Abstract: This paper studies the link between crime and fertility and the way by which they jointly impact on economic growth. In a three-period overlapping generations model, where health status in adulthood depends on health in childhood, adult agents allocate their time to work, leisure, child rearing and criminal activities. An autonomous increase in the probability o¤enders face in escaping apprehension, increases both crime and fertility non-monotonically, giving rise to an ambiguous e¤ect on growth. A cross-country empirical examination, based on data that span four decades, supports the non-linear e¤ects on both crime and fertility. At the same time, it reveals a negative effect on output growth.

Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-dev, nep-dge and nep-law
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Journal Article: Crime, fertility, and economic growth: Theory and evidence (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:man:cgbcrp:163

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