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Nonlinearity in the Fed's Monetary Policy Rule

D H Kim, Denise Osborn () and Marianne Sensier ()

Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series from Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester

Abstract: This paper investigates the nature of nonlinearities in the monetary policy rule of the US Fed using the flexible approach of Hamilton (2001). We find that while there is significant evidence of nonlinearity for the period to 1979, there is little such evidence for the subsequent period. Possible asymmetry in the Fed's reactions to inflation deviations from target and the output gap in the 1960s and 70s may tell part of the story, but do not capture the entire nature of the nonlinearity. The inclusion of the interaction between inflation deviations and the output gap, as recently proposed, appears to characterize the nonlinear policy rule more adequately.

Keywords: nonlinearities; monetary policy rule; Phillips curve; interaction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Journal Article: Nonlinearity in the Fed's monetary policy rule (2005) Downloads
Working Paper: Nonlinearity in the Fed's Monetary Policy Rule (2003) Downloads
Working Paper: Nonlinearity in the Fed's Monetary Policy Rule (2002) Downloads
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