Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and International Oil Prices

Mohammad Reza Farzanegan () and Mozhgan Raeisian Parvari
Additional contact information
Mozhgan Raeisian Parvari: University of Vienna

MAGKS Papers on Economics from Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung)

Abstract: One of the main elements of economic sanctions against Iran due to its nuclear and military programs is crude oil exportation restrictions in addition to investment in Iranian energy related projects. Senders of such sanction are interested in understanding the impacts of such embargos on international oil prices. We apply unrestricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, using impulse response (IRF) and variance decomposition (VDA) tools with annual data from 1965 to 2012 to analyze the dynamic response of international oil prices to Iranian oil export sanction. Controlling for the supply of non-Iranian oil and the world GDP per capita, we show that international oil prices respond positively to negative changes of the Iranian oil expor, our proxy of Iran oil sanctions. However, the increasing response of oil prices to the Iranian oil sanction is only significant in the first year after negative shock in Iran oil exports. Beyond the first year following shock, we do not observe a statistically significant response of oil prices.

Keywords: Oil Price; VAR Model; Sanction; Iran Handle: RePEc:mar:MAGKSE:201427 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E37 Q32 Q34 Q38 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara, nep-cwa and nep-ene
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

Forthcoming in

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/mag ... -2014_farzanegan.pdf First 201427 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and international oil prices (2014)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mar:magkse:201427

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MAGKS Papers on Economics from Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Bernd Hayo ().