Housing Market Convergence: Evidence from Germany

Umut Unal, Bernd Hayo and Isil Erol

MAGKS Papers on Economics from Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung)

Abstract: This paper analyses the convergence pattern of German housing prices and rents, employing a new dataset covering the country’s administrative districts. In addition to conventional tests for 𠛽-convergence and 𠜎-convergence, we apply Phillips and Sul’s (2007) approach to allow for the various heterogeneity and transitional dynamics across districts. Our results reveal no evidence of convergence across Germany or within states; instead, we discover widespread evidence of divergence and inter-state convergence, as well as support for the existence of convergence clubs. At the federal level, we identify club numbers ranging from 11 (for existing flat prices) to five (for new flat rents). At the state level, the estimated number of clubs is generally lower, ranging from zero to six.

Keywords: Convergence; Germany; Housing prices; district-level data; convergence clubs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R10 R30 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18 pages
Date: 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mar:magkse:202244

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