EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Dynamic of COVID-19 New Infections under Different Stringent Policies

Weshah Razzak ()

No 2007, Discussion Papers from School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand

Abstract: We estimate an unrestricted VAR to summarize the dynamics of the stringency of policy and COVID-19 infections in New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Sweden, and the U.S. using the newly published Stringency Index by the Blavatnik School of Government at the University of Oxford, Hale et al. (2020). The stringency of the policy responds positively to the number of new infections, and new infection cases respond negatively to the increase in the stringency of the policy. New Zealand and Australia followed slightly different stringent policies, but both managed the pandemic remarkably well. Denmark, Sweden, and the U.S. adopted different policies in terms of stringency and timing. Had Denmark, Sweden, and the U.S. adopted the New Zealand’s stringent policy they could have reduced the number of infection cases significantly, but not as much as in New Zealand because the stringency and timing of policy is endogenous and country-specific.

Keywords: COVID-19; Stringency Index; VAR; Dynamic Stochastic Projections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 C9 I10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18 pages
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ore
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://econfin.massey.ac.nz/school/publications/discuss/2020/DP2007.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: The Dynamic of COVID-19 New Infections under Different Stringent Policies (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Dynamic of COVID-19 New Infections under Different Stringent Policies (2020) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mas:dpaper:2007

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Discussion Papers from School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mark Woods ().

 
Page updated 2021-11-25
Handle: RePEc:mas:dpaper:2007