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The inflation-growth relationship in SSA inflation targeting countries

Nomahlubi Mavikela (), Simbarashe Mhaka () and Andrew Phiri ()

No 1801, Working Papers from Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University

Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and economic growth for South Africa and Ghana using quarterly empirical data collected from 2001 to 2016 applied to the quantile regression method. For our full sample estimates we find that inflation is positively related with growth in Ghana at high inflation levels whilst inflation in South Africa exerts its least adverse effects at high inflation levels. However, when particularly focusing on the post-crisis period, we find inflation exerts negative effects at all levels of inflation for both countries with inflation having its least adverse effects at high levels for Ghana and at moderate levels for South Arica. Based on these findings bear important implications for inflation targeting frameworks adopted by Central Banks in both countries.

Keywords: Inflation, Economic Growth, quantile regression, Inflation targeting; South Africa, Ghana, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C51 E31 E52 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2018-01, Revised 2018-01
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http://repec.mandela.ac.za/RePEc/mnd/wpaper/paper.1801.pdf First version, 2018 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The Inflation-Growth Relationship in SSA Inflation-Targeting Countries (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: The inflation-growth relationship in SSA inflation targeting countries (2018) Downloads
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