Il boom demografico prossimo venturo. Tendenze demografiche, mercato del lavoro ed immigrazione: scenari e politiche

Michele Bruni

Department of Economics from University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi"

Abstract: The aim of the research is to introduce a generational stock-flow model to estimate international migration needs and provide long terms demographic forecasts in which migration is an endogenous variables determined by demographic trends and additional labor demand. At the empirical levels, it provides long term scenarios of net migratory balances and demographic trends for Italy. The main conclusion is that the decrease in fertility experienced by Italy, as by all industrialized countries, will not determine a contraction of population and working age population, as forecasted by all national and international statistical institutions, but will generate unprecedented population increases and international migratory flows

Keywords: demography; iimmigration; labour market; economy politics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J21 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: pages 271
Date: 2008-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-mig
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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