Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict at the Regional Level

Roland Hodler and Paul Raschky

No 27-14, Monash Economics Working Papers from Monash University, Department of Economics

Abstract: We study the effects of economic shocks on civil conflict at the subnational level using a panel data set of 5,689 administrative regions from 53 African countries with yearly observations from 1992 to 2010. We find that economic shocks, measured by nighttime light intensity and instrumented by lagged rainfall and droughts, increase the probability of civil conflict.

Keywords: Economic shocks; civil conflict; regional development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 11 pages
Date: 2014-09
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