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The Long Term Development of Criminal Offenses in the Federal Republic of Germany 1985-2030

Ulrich Blum () and T. Feltes

Cahiers de recherche from Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques

Abstract: Based on a Disaggregate Monte-Carlo Simulation Model, We Will Compute Paths of Long Term Development of Criminal Offenses in the Federal Republic of Germany Until the Year 2030 Based Upon Hypotheses on the Long Term Development of Crime. the Use of This Approach Permits Us to Relate Probabilities to Different Outcomes of the Forecasts.

Keywords: Forecasts; Polation; Crimes; Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 15P. pages
Date: 1987
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mtl:montde:8706

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