Inflation and Other Aggregate Determinants of the Trend in U.S. Divorce Rates since the 1960s

John Nunley ()

No 200717, Working Papers from Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance

Abstract: This paper extends empirical research on determinants of divorce in two ways. First, I examine the effect of inflation on divorce. Second, the use of a structural time-series modeling approach attributes unobservables and omitted variables to an unobserved component, which allows for the model’s parameters to be estimated consistently. Inflation is statistically significant, positive, and persistent. I show that the effects of inflation are robust to the inclusion of additional explanatory variables and various trend specifications. The long-run implications of inflation are also substantial. I conclude that price stability has the potential to reduce divorce rates.

Keywords: divorce; inflation; women’s educational attainment; economic growth; unemployment; structural time series; unobserved component models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-09
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Inflation and other aggregate determinants of the trend in US divorce rates since the 1960s (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mts:wpaper:200717

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