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Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?

Viv Hall and Angela Huang ()
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Angela Huang: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

No 03_14, Working Papers from Motu Economic and Public Policy Research

Abstract: Deterministic simulations with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's core FPS model show how New Zealand's broad macroeconomic environment might have evolved over the 1990s, if a US nominal yield curve and US TWI exchange rate movements under a common currency arrangement had been experienced. Relatively looser monetary conditions would have prevailed, and led to modest short-run output gains, greater excess demand pressures, noticeably higher CPI inflation rates over the whole of the 1990s, and less favourable trade balance outcomes, especially for the late 1990s. These macroeconomic outcomes are overall less favourable than those obtained from simulating the equivalent Australian monetary conditions.

Keywords: Common currency; monetary policy; deterministic simulation; New Zealand; Australia; United States (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E17 E31 E37 E58 F36 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17 pages
Date: 2003-09
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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https://motu-www.motu.org.nz/wpapers/03_14.pdf

Related works:
Journal Article: Would adopting the us dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s? (2004) Downloads
Working Paper: WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s? (2004) Downloads
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