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Adjustment in Local Labour and Housing Markets

Arthur Grimes, David Maré and Melanie Morten

No 07_10, Working Papers from Motu Economic and Public Policy Research

Abstract: This paper analyses local labour and hosuing market adjustment in New Zealand from 1989 to 2006. We use a VAR approach to examine the adjustment of employment, employment rate, participation rate, wages, and house prices in response to employment shocks. Migration is a major adjustment response at both a national and regional level. Nationally, a 1% positive employment shock leads to a long-run level of employment 1.3% higher, with half of the extra jobs filled by migrants. A 1% region-specific employment shock raises the long-run regional share of employment by 0.5 percentage points, due entirely to in-migration. House price responses differ at different spatial scales. Nationally, house prices are very responsive to employment shocks: a 1% employment shock raising long run house prices by 6% , as may be expected with an upward sloping housing supply curve. Paradoxically, this relationship does not hold at the regional level.

Keywords: Regional Labour Market Adjustment; Internal Migration; House Prices; Vector Autoregression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 J61 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2007-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo, nep-mig and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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