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A portfolio-choice model to analyze the recent gross capital flows between Canada and the US

Miguel Casares and Alba Del Villar ()
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Alba Del Villar: Departamento de Economía-UPNA, https://www.unavarra.es/departamento-economia

Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra from Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra

Abstract: We calibrate a two-country New Keynesian model with endogenous portfolio choice and valuation effects to discuss the determinants of the increase in Canadian Net Foreign Assets with the US observed after 2012. Furthermore, we discuss the shocks that may explain the “reversed two-way” capital flows pattern recently characterizing the Canada-US asset trading: Canada has a negative position on bond holdings owned by US investors while a positive balance emerges on its equity holdings from US firms. The combination of a global technology shock, the US fiscal contraction, an adverse wage-push shock in the US and the greater monetary stimulus in the US than in Canada (QE) provide insights to describe the recent capital flows between Canada and the US. Both the QE and the negative wage-push shock in the US play a crucial role as explanatory factors through substantial valuation effects.

Keywords: US-Canada capital flows; portfolio choice model; business cycles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E44 F41 F44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-mon
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