A note on central bank transparency and credibility in Poland

Tomasz Łyziak

No 162, NBP Working Papers from Narodowy Bank Polski

Abstract: This note extends the study by Lyziak et al. (2007), providing up-to-date assessment of central bank transparency in Poland. We highlight the role of inflation projections prepared by the staff of the National Bank of Poland in building transparency of monetary policy. The results suggest that central bank inflation projections, published since 2004, have led to improvements in the predictability of interest rate decisions. The note updates also previous estimates of the degree of central bank credibility in Poland, using survey-based measures of inflation expectations formed by consumers, enterprises and financial sector analysts. It is confirmed that inflation expectations of enterprises and – especially – of financial sector analysts display a high degree of anchoring at the NBP inflation target, while consumer inflation expectations are driven mainly by developments in subjectively perceived inflation.

Keywords: Transparency; Credibility; Expectations; Inflation Targeting; Poland. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D84 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:162

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