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Consumer inflation expectations Survey questions and quantification methods – the case of Poland

Tomasz Łyziak and Ewa Stanisławska

No 37, NBP Working Papers from Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department

Abstract: Qualitative data on inflation perceptions and expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be quantified into numerical indicators of the perceived and expected rates of price change. This paper presents the results of different versions of probability and regression methods, implemented in order to estimate Polish consumer inflation perceptions and predictions, based on monthly consumer surveys. The paper also discusses the limited usefulness of quantitative questions, which occur to be excessively difficult for a significant part of respondents, whose numerical declarations are inconsistent with opinions expressed in a qualitative manner

Keywords: Inflation expectations; Surveys; Quantification; Poland (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C42 D12 D84 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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