NBER Working Papers

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33512: Dynamic Urban Economics

Brian Greaney, Andrii Parkhomenko and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

33511: The U.S. Place-Based Policy Supply Chain

Gordon Hanson, Dani Rodrik and Rohan Sandhu

33510: Making the Invisible Visible: The Impact of Revealing Indoor Air Pollution on Behavior and Welfare

Robert Metcalfe and Sefi Roth

33509: Artificial Intelligence and the Labor Market

Menaka Hampole, Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence D.W. Schmidt and Bryan Seegmiller

33508: Measuring Work from Home

Shelby R. Buckman, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis

33507: Knightian Uncertainty and Bayesian Entrepreneurship

Joshua Gans

33506: Long-Run Consequences of Sanctions on Russia

David Baqaee and Hannes Malmberg

33505: Firstborn Daughters and Family Structure in Sub-Saharan Africa

Garance Genicot and Maria Hernandez- de-Benito

33504: Long-Run Comparative Statics

David Baqaee and Hannes Malmberg

33503: Do Temporary Cash Transfers Stimulate the Macroeconomy? Evidence from Four Case Studies

Valerie Ramey

33502: The Social Construction of Race during Reconstruction

Anjali Adukia, Richard Hornbeck, Daniel Keniston and Benjamin Lualdi

33501: Wage Fixing

Axel Gottfries and Gregor Jarosch

33500: Inappropriate Technology: Evidence from Global Agriculture

Jacob Moscona and Karthik A. Sastry

33499: Measuring the Average Period of Production

Pol Antras and Vitalii Tubdenov

33498: The Benefits from Bundling Demand in K-12 Broadband Procurement

Gaurab Aryal, Charles Murry, Pallavi Pal and Arnab Palit

33497: A Family Affair: The Effects of College on Parent and Student Finances

Palaash Bhargava, Sandra Black, Jeffrey Denning, Robert Fairlie and Oded Gurantz

33496: Misperceptions of Nonlinear Budget Sets: Evidence from Administrative Tax Data

Alexander M. Gelber, Damon Jones, Ithai Lurie and Daniel W. Sacks

33495: Does Peer Review Penalize Scientific Risk Taking? Evidence from NIH Grant Renewals

Pierre Azoulay and Wesley H. Greenblatt

33494: Guaranteed Employment in Rural India: Intra-Household Labor and Resource Allocation Consequences

Jorge Luis Garcia

33493: Optimal Spatial Policies

Pablo D. Fajgelbaum and Cecile Gaubert

33492: The Effect of Application Fees on Entry into Patenting

Gaétan de Rassenfosse and Adam Jaffe

33491: Killer Congestion: Temperature, Healthcare Utilization and Patient Outcomes

Sandra Aguilar-Gomez, Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew Neidell

33490: Declining Life Satisfaction and Happiness Among Young Adults in Six English-speaking Countries

Jean Twenge and David Blanchflower

33489: High-Speed Rail and China's Electric Vehicle Adoption Miracle

Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Long Wang and Zoe Yang

33488: Monetary Policy Under Okun’s Hypothesis

Felipe Alves and Giovanni Violante

33487: Economic Shocks and Healthcare Capital Investments

Michael R. Richards, Maggie Shi and Christopher Whaley

33486: Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li, Le Xu and Francesco Zanetti

33485: Policy Interventions and China’s Stock Market in the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Steven Davis, Dingqian Liu, Xuguang Simon Sheng and Yan Wang

33484: The Welfare Benefits of Pay-As-You-Go Financing

Paul Gertler, Brett Green, Renping Li and David Sraer

33483: Venture Capital Start-up Selection

Young Soo Jang and Steven N. Kaplan

33482: The Price of Faith: Economic Costs and Religious Adaptation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Eduardo Montero, Dean Yang and Triana Yentzen

33481: Firm Trade Exposure, Labor Market Competition, and the Worker Incidence of Trade Shocks

Jeronimo Carballo and Richard K. Mansfield

33480: Cross-Gender Social Ties Around the World

Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Theresa Kuchler, Ayush Kumar and Johannes Stroebel

33479: The Minimum Wage, Turnover, and the Shape of the Wage Distribution

Pierre Brochu, David Green, Thomas Lemieux and James Townsend

33478: Micro and Macro Cost-Price Dynamics in Normal Times and During Inflation Surges

Luca Gagliardone, Mark Gertler, Simone Lenzu and Joris Tielens

33476: How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach

Dimitris Georgarakos, Kwang Hwan Kim, Olivier Coibion, Myungkyu Shim, Myunghwan Andrew Lee, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Geoff Kenny, Seowoo Han and Michael Weber

33475: The Mental Health of the Young in Asia and the Middle East: The Importance of Self-Reports

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

33474: Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol González-Casasús and Frank Schorfheide

33473: Understanding the Role of Genetic Heterogeneity in Smoking Interventions: Experimental Evidence from the Lung Health Study

Shubhashrita Basu, Jason Fletcher, Qiongshi Lu, Jiacheng Miao and Lauren L. Schmitz

33472: Bank Debt, Mutual Fund Equity, and Swing Pricing in Liquidity Provision

Yiming Ma, Kairong Xiao and Yao Zeng

33471: The Evolution of Talent Allocation into Academia: Institution-Building and Graduates’ Choices during Japan’s Industrialization

Takuya Hiraiwa, Serguey Braguinsky and Rajshree Agarwal

33470: An Alpha in Affordable Housing?

Sven Damen, Matthijs Korevaar and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

33469: The Labor Market Impact of Digital Technologies

Sangmin Aum and Yongseok Shin

33468: Dodging Day Zero: Drought, Adaptation, and Inequality in Cape Town

Alexander C. Abajian, Cassandra Cole, B. Kelsey Jack, Kyle Meng and Martine Visser

33467: Labor Market Monopsony: Fundamentals and Frontiers

Patrick Kline

33466: A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice

Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Giacomo Lanzani and Andrei Shleifer

33465: The Effect of US COVID-19 Excess Mortality on Social Security Outlays

Hanke Heun-Johnson, Darius Lakdawalla, Julian Reif and Bryan Tysinger

33464: Quick-Fixing: Near-Rationality in Consumption and Savings Behavior

Peter Andre, Joel P. Flynn, Georgios Nikolakoudis and Karthik Sastry

33463: Evidence on the Importance of Market Competition in Distress Propagation

Winston Dou, Shane Johnson and Wei Wu

33462: Student Loan Forgiveness

Michael Dinerstein, Samuel Earnest, Dmitri K. Koustas and Constantine Yannelis

33461: Sex-Based Wage Gaps in Nursing

Pablo Estrada, Sara Markowitz and Alexia Witthaus

33460: Vanguard: Black Veterans and Civil Rights after World War I

Desmond Ang and Sahil Chinoy

33459: Reconciling Macroeconomics and Finance for the U.S. Corporate Sector: 1929 to Present

Andrew Atkeson, Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri

33458: Local GDP Estimates Around the World

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg and Jialing Zhang

33457: The Therapeutic Consequences of the War: World War II and the 20th-Century Expansion of Biomedicine

Daniel Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat

33456: The Experimentalist Looks Within: Toward an Understanding of Within-Subject Experimental Designs

John List

33455: ESG Is The Most Polarizing Nonwage Amenity: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Brazil

Emanuele Colonnelli, Timothy McQuade, Gabriel Ramos, Thomas Rauter and Olivia Xiong

33454: A Test of Dominant Currency Hypothesis: Evidence From a Non-USD-non-Euro Country

Yushi Yoshida, Takatoshi Ito, Junko Shimizu, Kiyotaka Sato, Taiyo Yoshimi and Uraku Yoshimoto

33453: Spatial Economics for Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Gharad T. Bryan, Kyra Frye and Melanie Morten

33452: Rigidities in Transportation and Supply Chain Disruptions

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Theodore Papageorgiou

33451: AI and Women's Employment in Europe

Stefania Albanesi, António Dias da Silva, Juan F. Jimeno, Ana Lamo and Alena Wabitsch

33450: Moral Hazard among the Employed: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity

Jonas Jessen, Robin Jessen, Andrew Johnston and Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak

33449: Does Loan Securitization Expose Borrowers to Non-Bank Investor Shocks?—Evidence from Insurers

Abhishek Bhardwaj, Shan Ge and Saptarshi Mukherjee

33448: Childbirth and Firm Performance: Evidence from Norwegian Entrepreneurs

John Bonney, Luigi Pistaferri and Alessandra Voena

33447: The Hidden Toll of Airborne Lead: Infant Mortality Impacts of Industrial Lead Pollution

Karen Clay, Edson Severnini and Xiao Wang

33446: Did the Modern Mortgage Set the Stage for the U.S. Baby Boom?

Lisa Dettling and Melissa Schettini Kearney

33445: Firm Pay and Worker Search

Sydnee Caldwell, Ingrid Haegele and Jörg Heining

33444: Income Equality in The Nordic Countries: Myths, Facts, and Lessons

Magne Mogstad, Kjell G Salvanes and Gaute Torsvik

33443: Spatial Dynamics

Klaus Desmet and Fernando Parro

33442: Institutions, Technology and Prosperity

Daron Acemoglu

33441: A Neoclassical Model of the World Financial Cycle

Yan Bai, Patrick Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez and Fabrizio Perri

33440: Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored During a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area Firms

Ursel Baumann, Annalisa Ferrando, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Timo Reinelt

33439: The Role of Physician Altruism in the Physician-Industry Relationship: Evidence from Linking Experimental and Observational Data

Shan Huang, Jing Li and Anirban Basu

33438: Families’ Career Investments and Firms’ Promotion Decisions

Frederik Almar, Benjamin Friedrich, Ana Reynoso, Bastian Schulz and Rune Vejlin

33437: Divergent Paths: Differential Impacts of Minimum Wage Increases on Individuals with Disabilities

Jeffrey Clemens, Melissa Gentry and Jonathan Meer

33436: Quantitative Regional Economics

Treb Allen and Costas Arkolakis

33435: Capital Structure & Firm Outcomes: Evidence from Dividend Recapitalizations in Private Equity

Abhishek Bhardwaj, Abhinav Gupta and Sabrina T. Howell

33434: Market Macrostructure: Institutions and Asset Prices

Valentin Haddad and Tyler Muir

33433: Minimum Wage Laws and Job Search

Vitor C. Melo, Christopher Kaiser, David Neumark, Liya Palagashvili and Michael D. Farren

33432: The Potential of Public Employment Reallocation as a Place-Based Policy

Dimitria Freitas

33431: What Do Managers Do? An Economist's Perspective

Alan Benson and Kathryn L. Shaw

33430: Education and Dementia Risk

Silvia Barcellos, Leandro Carvalho, Kenneth Langa, Sneha Nimmagadda and Patrick Turley

33429: Health Insurance as Economic Stimulus? Evidence from Long-Term Care Jobs

Martin B. Hackmann, Jörg Heining, Roman Klimke, Maria Polyakova and Holger Seibert

33428: A Bayesian Assessment of the Origins of COVID-19 using Spatiotemporal and Zoonotic Data

Andrew Levin

33427: The Long-Run Effects of America's Largest Residential Racial Desegregation Program: Gautreaux

Eric Chyn, Robert Collinson and Danielle H. Sandler

33426: Trade Policy, Exchange Rates, and the Globalization Surge of the 1990s

Douglas Irwin

33425: Dynamic Scoring: A Progress Report on Why, When, and How

Douglas Elmendorf, R. Glenn Hubbard and Heidi Williams

33424: Places versus People: The Ins and Outs of Labor Market Adjustment to Globalization

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, Maggie R. Jones and Bradley Setzler

33423: Monetary Policy Predicts Currency Movements

Söhnke Bartram, Mark Grinblatt and Yan Xu

33422: Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S. – Evidence from Migration Patterns of 212 Million Voters

Jacob R. Brown, Enrico Cantoni, Ryan Enos, Vincent Pons and Emilie Sartre

33421: Can Machines Learn Weak Signals?

Zhouyu Shen and Dacheng Xiu

33420: Dismantling the License Raj: The Long Road to India’s 1991 Trade Reforms

Douglas Irwin

33419: Wealth Tax Enforcement in Sweden: Filing Requirements and Pre-Populated Returns

Emmanuel Saez and David G. Seim

33418: Do Place-Based Industrial Interventions Help "Left-Behind" Workers? Lessons from WWII and Beyond

Andrew Garin

33417: Ancient Epics in the Television Age: Mass Media, Identity, and the Rise of Hindu Nationalism in India

Resuf Ahmed, Paul Brimble, Akhila Kovvuri, Alessandro Saia and Dean Yang

33416: The Long and Short of Financial Development

Douglas Diamond, Yunzhi Hu and Raghuram Rajan

33415: Declining Youth Well-being in 167 UN Countries. Does Survey Mode, or Question Matter?

David Blanchflower

33414: The Targeting of Place-Based Policies: The New Markets Tax Credit Versus Opportunity Zones

Kevin Corinth, David Coyne, Naomi Feldman and Craig Johnson

33413: Climate Transition Risks and the Energy Sector

Viral Acharya, Stefano Giglio, Stefano Pastore, Johannes Stroebel, Zhenhao Tan and Tiffany Yong

33412: Geographic Resolution in Environmental Policy: EPA's Shift from Regions to Counties Under the Clean Air Act

Maureen Cropper, Mengjia Hu, Yongjoon Park and Nicholas Muller