NBER Working Papers

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34916: Climate Disasters and Intergenerational Equity: A Fiscal Rule for Sustainable Development

Harrison Hong, Heqing Huang and Neng Wang

34915: The Economics of Tariffs

Ralph Ossa and Stephen Redding

34914: Loneliness, Mental Health and the Work-From-Home Revolution

Benjamin Cowan and Joe M. Spearing

34913: Understanding High Schools’ Effects on Longer-Term Outcomes

Preeya P. Mbekeani, John P. Papay, Ann Mantil and Richard Murnane

34912: Online Buddies for Job Seekers: A Field Experiment

Bart K. de Koning, Paul Muller, Michèle Belot, Yvonne Engels, Didier Fouarge, Mario Keer, Philipp Kircher and Sandra Phlippen

34911: How Do Interest Rates Affect Consumption? Household Debt and the Role of Asset Prices

Angus Foulis, Jonathon Hazell, Atif Mian and Belinda Tracey

34910: AI, Human Cognition and Knowledge Collapse

Daron Acemoglu, Dingwen Kong and Asuman Ozdaglar

34909: Multidimensional Signaling and the Rise of Cultural Politics

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

34908: Geoeconomic Competition and Capital Reallocation in Global FX Funding

Yu An and Amy W. Huber

34907: Efficiency, Insurance, and Redistribution Effects of Government Policies

Anmol Bhandari, David Evans, Mikhail Golosov and Thomas Sargent

34906: Equity Financing and Exports: Evidence from IPO Approvals in China

Robin Kaiji Gong, Yao Li, Stephen Teng Sun and Shang-Jin Wei

34905: When Benchmarks Fail: The Causes and Consequences of Negative Oil Prices

Erik P. Gilje, Robert C. Ready, Nikolai Roussanov and Jérôme P. Taillard

34904: An Empirical Evaluation of Some Long-Horizon Macroeconomic Forecasts

Kurt Lunsford and Kenneth West

34903: Bubbles, Booms and Crashes in the US Stock Market 1792-2024

William Goetzmann, Otto Manninen and James Tyler

34902: Farmer Adoption and Payment Design Under Risk: Variability in Soil Carbon Sequestration Across Conservation Practices

Khyati Malik

34901: Did Foreigners Pay America's Tariffs? Quantity Discounts, Scale Economies and Incomplete Pass-Through

Sharat Ganapati and Colin Hottman

34900: The Vietnam War and Racial Integration

Zachary Bleemer

34899: Capital Structure, Seniority, and Risk Premia: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange, 1870–1929

William Goetzmann and K. Rouwenhorst

34898: What Threshold Should be Applied to Tests of Factor Models?

Campbell Harvey, Alessio Sancetta and Yuqian Zhao

34897: Scanner Data, Product Churn and Quality Adjustment

Walter Diewert and Chihiro Shimizu

34896: Are Macro Shocks Second Order?

Michail Anthropelos, Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence Kotlikoff

34895: Minimum Wages and Rise of the Robots

Erik Brynjolfsson, J. Frank Li, Javier Miranda, Robert Seamans and Andrew J. Wang

34894: Inflation vs Inclusion: Stabilization Policy in the Wake of the Pandemic

Felipe Alves and Giovanni Violante

34893: Ray of Hope? China and the Rise of Solar Energy

Ignacio Banares-Sanchez, Robin Burgess, Dávid László, Pol Simpson, John van Reenen and Yifan Wang

34892: Interest Rate Risk and Cross-Sectional Effects of Micro-Prudential Regulation

Juliane Begenau, Vadim Elenev and Tim Landvoigt

34891: Consumption Wedges: Measuring and Diagnosing Distortions

Sasha Indarte, Raymond Kluender, Ulrike Malmendier and Michael Stepner

34890: Improving Organ Procurement Operations

Hammaad Adam, Nikhil Agarwal and Marzyeh Ghassemi

34889: Optimal Simple Ratings

Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi

34888: Drivers of Dollar Share in Foreign Exchange Reserves

Linda Goldberg and Oliver Hannaoui

34887: A Theory of Subsidy Harvesting in Livestock Price Insurance

Michael K. Adjemian and A. Ford Ramsey

34886: Shielding Women from Violence: The Effects of Violence Prevention and Monitoring Centers on Intimate Partner Violence in Türkiye

Gunes Asik, Bilge Erten, Erdal Tekin, Semih Tumen and Hakan Ulucan

34885: Demographics and Technology Diffusion: Evidence from Mobile Payments

Nicolas Crouzet, Pulak Ghosh, Apoorv Gupta and Filippo Mezzanotti

34884: Industrial Policies for Multi-Stage Production: The Battle for Battery-Powered Vehicles

Keith Head, Thierry Mayer, Marc Melitz and Chenying Yang

34883: Shopping From Home

Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Stephanie G. Johnson and Jana Obradović

34882: Intangible Intensity

Andrea Eisfeldt, Barney Hartman-Glaser, Edward T. Kim and Ki Beom Lee

34881: The Local Origins of Business Formation: Entry as a Two-Stage Process

Emin Dinlersoz, Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger and Veronika Penciakova

34880: Do Informal Social Markets and Online Sellers Help Youths to Avoid E-Cigarette Taxation?

Chad Cotti, Dhaval Dave, Tessie Krishna, Erik Nesson and Joseph J. Sabia

34879: Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective

Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina

34878: Settlement of Litigation May Increase or Decrease Deterrence and Social Welfare

Steven Shavell

34877: Job Search, Job Amenities and the Gender Pay Gap

Jason Faberman, Andreas Mueller and Aysegul Sahin

34876: A Unified Urban Model With Non-Homothetic Housing Demand

Frederic Robert-Nicoud, Pierre-Philippe Combes, Gilles Duranton and Laurent Gobillon

34875: Household Responses to Private Risk Information

Benjamin Krebs and Matthew Neidell

34874: Job Loss and Health Insurance Coverage Before and After the Affordable Care Act

Jessamyn Schaller and Mariana Zerpa

34873: Public Finance in the Age of AI: A Primer

Anton Korinek and Lee Lockwood

34872: Good Neighborhoods, Good Neighbors, Good Jobs?

Stephen B. Billings, Mark Hoekstra and Gabriel Pons Rotger

34871: Range Anxiety

Panle Barwick, Shanjun Li and Tianli Xia

34870: Why Do Firms Pay Different Interest Rates on Their Bank Loans?

Mary Amiti, Anil Kashyap, Anna Kovner and David Weinstein

34869: Why has Decreasing Schooling Inequality Not Led to Decreasing Earnings Inequality in South Africa?

David Lam, Murray Leibbrandt, Arden J. Finn and Nicola Branson

34868: Venture Fraud

Isaac Dyck, Freda Fang, Camille Hebert and Ting Xu

34867: Weather to Arrest

Howard Bodenhorn

34866: Smartphones, Online Music Streaming, and Traffic Fatalities

Vishal R. Patel, Christopher M. Worsham, Michael Liu and Anupam Jena

34865: What Drives Money Competition: Comparative Advantage in Payments versus Reserves

Itay Goldstein, Ming Yang and Yao Zeng

34864: Black like us? The Occupational Integration of Black Immigrants

Mwangi wa Gĩthĩnji and Patrick L. Mason

34863: Valuation of Regulatory Risk on Pharmaceutical R&D

Teresa Corzo Santamaria, Jose Portela and Eduardo S. Schwartz

34862: Expanding Paternity Leave: Effects on Beliefs, Norms, and Gender Gaps

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Anne Sophie S. Lassen, Philip Rosenbaum, Herdis Steingrimsdottir and Jakob Søgaard

34861: Machine Learning Meets Markowitz

Yijie Wang, Hao Gao, Campbell Harvey, Yan Liu and Xinyuan Tao

34860: Disparate Impacts of Teacher Certification Exams

Christa Deneault, Evan Riehl and Jian Zou

34859: Chaining Tasks, Redefining Work: A Theory of AI Automation

Mert Demirer, John Horton, Nicole Immorlica, Brendan Lucier and Peyman Shahidi

34858: The Promise of Microbial Fertilizer for Affordable and Sustainable Food Production in Africa

Tavneet Suri, Petar Madjarac and Robert D. van der Hilst

34857: Great Expectations: Responses to Current and Future Transfers for Low-Income Individuals

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Jean-François Gauthier, Pamela Jakiela and Dean Karlan

34856: Government Funding and the Direction of Academic Energy Research

David Popp, Myriam Gregoire-Zawilski, Lizhen Liang and Daniel Acuna

34855: Trading Goods for Lives: NAFTA’s Mortality Impacts and Implications

Amy Finkelstein, Matthew Notowidigdo and Steven X. Shi

34854: Building Pro-Worker Artificial Intelligence

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor and Simon Johnson

34853: Bank Failures: The Roles of Solvency and Liquidity

Sergio A. Correia, Stephan Luck and Emil Verner

34852: The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data

Tamar den Besten and Diego Känzig

34851: Does Generative AI Narrow Education-Based Productivity Gaps? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Guillermo Cruces, Diego Fernández Meijide, Sebastian Galiani, Ramiro Gálvez and Maria Lombardi

34850: Managing the Entrepreneur's Miracle Budget

Joshua Gans

34849: Mimicking Finance

Lauren Cohen, Yiwen Lu and Quoc H. Nguyen

34847: The Differential Impacts of Critical Mineral Prices and Oil Prices on the Economy

Adrien Concordel, Phuong Ho and Christopher Knittel

34846: Bidder Pools in Mergers and Acquisitions

Bruce I. Carlin, Tingting Liu, Micah S. Officer, Agathe Pernoud and Danni Tu

34845: Is Teacher Effectiveness Fully Portable? Evidence from the Random Assignment of Transfer Incentives

Matthew Kraft, John P. Papay, Jessalynn K. James and Manuel Monti-Nussbaum

34844: Liquidity Flows to Bank-Affiliated Broker Dealers: Insights from Volumes and Prices

Jennie Bai, Erik Bostrom, Sebastian Infante and Victoria Ivashina

34843: How Do Workers Think About The Costs and Benefits of Freelance Work? New Evidence From a Survey Experiment

Edward Freeland, Andrew Garin and Dmitri K. Koustas

34842: Nonparametric Identification of Demand without Exogenous Product Characteristics

Kirill Borusyak, Jiafeng Chen, Peter Hull and Lihua Lei

34841: Classrooms as Workplaces: How Student Composition Affects Teacher Health

Krzysztof Karbownik, Helena Svaleryd, Jonas Vlachos and Xuemeng Wang

34840: The Silk Road of Ashes: Exposure to NAFTA and Adult Mortality

Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher

34839: Reconstruction following Destruction: Entrepreneurship in the Aftermath of a Natural Disaster

Richard Lombardo, Elizabeth Frankenberg and Duncan Thomas

34838: R&D Uncertainty and Cycles

Nicolas Crouzet and Janice Eberly

34837: Non-Fungible Tokens as Investment

William Goetzmann, Dong Huang and Milad Nozari

34836: Firm Data on AI

Ivan Yotzov, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven Davis, Kevin M. Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael A. Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites and Ben Zhe Wang

34835: Self-assessed Life-Cycle Saving Behavior in the U.S. and Singapore: Procrastination Versus Economic Shocks

Susann Rohwedder, Michael Hurd and Axel H. Börsch-Supan

34834: GPT as a Measurement Tool

Hemanth Asirvatham, Elliott Mokski and Andrei Shleifer

34833: Dynamic Complementarity

James J. Heckman, Haihan Tian, Zijian Zhang and Jin Zhou

34832: Gender Norms and Development

Erica M. Field, Madeline McKelway and Alessandra Voena

34831: More Hours, More Work: Head Start Expansions Boost Maternal Employment

Chloe Gibbs, Esra Kose and Maria Rosales-Rueda

34830: Using Life Satisfaction Data to Measure Parents' Child Gender Preferences

Anna Barbeta-Margarit, Seema Jayachandran and Suanna Oh

34829: Mass Media and Contraception Use: An Experimental Test of Modernization Theory in Burkina Faso

Rachel Glennerster, Joanna Murray and Victor Pouliquen

34828: Seeing Green: The Effects of Financial Exposures on Support for Climate Action

Michelle Hanlon, Saumitra Jha, Namrata Kala, Nemit Shroff and Chagai M. Weiss

34827: Threshold Disclosure in Collective Decisions

Luca Braghieri, Leonardo Bursztyn and Jan Fasnacht

34826: A Population Perspective on the Beneficiaries of Public and Private Assistance Immediately and over the Long-term After a Major Disaster

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Nicholas Ingwersen, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

34825: Hierarchy and Performance Pay: Experimental Evidence from the Public Sector

Garance Genicot, Zahra Mansoor and Ghazala Mansuri

34824: Interest Rate Pass-Through With Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Manuel Adelino, Miguel Ferreira and Sujiao Zhao

34823: Currency Pegs, Trade Imbalances and Unemployment: A Reevaluation of the China Shock

Bumsoo Kim, Marc De la Barrea and Masao Fukui

34822: Incentives and Prosocial Discomfort: A Laboratory Experiment

Grace E. Steward, Mario Macis, Nicola Lacetera, Jeffrey P. Kahn and Vikram Chib

34821: Marriage and the Intergenerational Mobility of Women: Evidence from Marriage Certificates 1850-1920

Katherine Eriksson, Gregory Niemesh, Myera Rashid and Jacqueline Craig

34820: Are Government Bonds Safe in Times of War and Pandemic?

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Xiaolan

34819: Financial Incentives, Health Screening, and Selection into Mental Health Care: Experimental Evidence from College Students in India

Emily Breza, Kevin Carney, Vijaya Raghavan, Kailash Rajah, Thara Rangaswamy, Gautam Rao, Frank Schilbach, Sobia Shadbar and James Stratton

34818: Residential Segregation and Unequal Access to Local Public Services in India: Evidence from 1.5m Neighborhoods

Sam Asher, Kritarth Jha, Paul Novosad, Anjali Adukia and Brandon Tan

34817: International Currency Dominance

Joseph Abadi, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Daniel Sanches

34816: Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution

Tommaso Giommoni, Gabriel Loumeau and Marco Tabellini