NBER Working Papers

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34338: The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting

Andrew Foerster, Andreas Hornstein, Pierre Daniel Sarte and Mark Watson

34337: Intimate Partner Violence in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Insights from Economic Research

Manisha Shah and Lydia Barski

34336: Fractional Ownership and Copyright Licensing: Evidence from the Music Industry

Alberto Galasso and El Hadi Caoui

34335: Housing Betas

Monika Piazzesi

34334: Child Maltreatment Investigations and Family Well-being

Katherine Rittenhouse, David Simon and Lindsey Lacey

34333: Trade and Development in a Fracturing World

Amit Khandelwal

34332: Trade War and the Dollar Anchor

Tarek Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens, Jingye Wang and Tony Zhang

34331: Aggregating Average Treatment Effects on the Treated in Difference-in-Differences Models

Partha Deb, Edward Norton, Jeffrey Wooldridge and Jeffrey Zabel

34330: Making AI Count: The Next Measurement Frontier

Diane Coyle and John Lourenze S. Poquiz

34329: Financial Value of Nature: Coastal Housing Markets, Mangroves, and Climate Resilience

Teng Liu, Brook Constantz, Galina Hale and Michael Beck

34328: “No One Can Borrow” – Reassessing the “Junior Can’t Borrow” Equity-Premium Puzzle Resolution

Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence Kotlikoff

34327: How Immigration is Changing the Black-White Earnings Gap

Rong Fu, Neeraj Kaushal and Felix Muchomba

34326: Policy Options to Achieve US Sustainable Aviation Fuel Targets

Mengying Wu, Kristen McCormack, William A. Scott, Aaron Smith, Jingran Zhang and James Stock

34325: FCI-plot: Central Bank Communication Through Financial Conditions

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

34324: Racial Differences in Nursing Home Value Added

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Neale Mahoney and James C. Okun

34323: Bond-Stock Comovements

John Campbell, Carolin Pflueger and Luis Viceira

34322: The Impact of a Genetic Predisposition to a Higher BMI on Education Outcomes

Jane Greve, Mette T. Jensen, Esben Agerbo and John Cawley

34321: Not Flourishing

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

34320: Climate Change, Conflict, and the Risk of Economic Collapse in Africa

Joel Ferguson, Marshall Burke, Edward Miguel and Solomon M. Hsiang

34319: Capital Reallocation and Private Firm Dynamics

Anmol Bhandari, Paolo Martellini and Ellen McGrattan

34318: The Impact of AI and Digital Platforms on the Information Ecosystem

Joseph E. Stiglitz and Maxim Ventura-Bolet

34317: The Impact of Immunotherapy on Reductions in Cancer Mortality: Evidence from Medicare

Danea Horn, Abby E. Alpert, Mark Duggan and Mireille Jacobson

34316: Genius on Demand: The Value of Transformative Artificial Intelligence

Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb

34315: What Can Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning Measure?

Jonathan Proctor, Tamma Carleton, Trinetta Chong, Taryn Fransen, Simon Greenhill, Jessica Katz, Hikari Murayama, Luke Sherman, Jeanette Tseng, Hannah Druckenmiller and Solomon Hsiang

34314: Incorporating Non-Unitary Income Elasticities, Choke Prices and Choke Incomes into Applied General-Equilibrium Models

James Markusen

34313: Understanding and Addressing Temperature Impacts on Mortality

Marshall Burke, Andrew J. Wilson, Tumenkhusel Avirmed, Jonas Wallstein, Mariana C. M. Martins, Patrick Behrer, Christopher W. Callahan, Marissa Childs, June Choi, Karina French, Carlos F. Gould, Sam Heft-Neal, Renzhi Jing, Minghao Qiu, Lisa Rennels and Emma Krasovich Southworth

34312: Artificial Intelligence in Research and Development

Benjamin Jones

34311: What Does It Take? Quantifying Cross-Country Transfers in the Eurozone

YiLi Chien, Zhengyang Jiang, Matteo Leombroni and Hanno Lustig

34310: Human Capital Accumulation Across Space

Klaus Desmet, David Nagy and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

34309: Group versus Individual Coaching for Rural Social Protection Programs: Evidence from Uganda, Philippines, and Bangladesh

Emily Beam, Lasse Brune, Narayan Das, Stefan Dercon, Nathanael Goldberg, Rozina Haque, Dean Karlan, Maliha Khan, Doug Parkerson, Ashley Pople, Yasuyuki Sawada, Christopher Udry and Rocco Zizzamia

34307: Bond Convenience Yields in the Eurozone Currency Union

Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Mindy Xiaolan

34306: Private Equity, Consumers, and Competition: Evidence from the Nursing Home Industry

Ashvin Gandhi, YoungJun Song and Prabhava Upadrashta

34305: The Impact of Carcinogenic Risk Exposure on Housing Values: Estimates From Chemical Reclassifications

Jules van Binsbergen, João F. Cocco, Marco Grotteria and S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan

34304: Maternity Leave Extensions and Gender Gaps: Evidence from an Online Job Platform

Hanming Fang, Jiayin Hu and Miao Yu

34303: Price and Volume Divergence in China’s Real Estate Markets: The Role of Local Governments

Jeffery (Jinfan) Chang, Yuheng Wang and Wei Xiong

34302: Playing with Blocs: Quantifying Decoupling

Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Elliot Kang, Andrei Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, Hiroshi Toma and Petia Topalova

34301: Equity Frictions and Firm Ownership

Alessandra Peter

34300: How Credible is Hong Kong's Currency Peg?

Urban Jermann, Bin Wei and Vivian Yue

34299: Who’s Afraid of Tariffs? The Geographic Distribution of Fear and Loss

Huijun Yan and Randall Morck

34298: The Traffic Noise Externality: Costs, Incidence and Policy Implications

Enrico Moretti and Harrison Wheeler

34297: Identity as Self-Image

Roland Benabou and Luca Henkel

34296: Social Learning among Urban Manufacturing Firms: Energy-Efficient Motors in Bangladesh

Ritam Chaurey, Gaurav Nayyar, Siddharth Sharma and Eric Verhoogen

34295: AI and Task Efficiency

Boyan Jovanovic and Peter Rousseau

34294: A Study of the Microdynamics of Early Childhood Learning

James Heckman and Jin Zhou

34293: Improving Judicial Protection in Intimate Partner Violence Cases: The Role of Specialized Courts and Judges

Carolina Arteaga, Gustavo Bobonis, Paola Salardi and Dario Toman

34292: Assessing Career Attainment via a Non-Wage Measure

Natee Amornsiripanitch, Paul Gompers, George Hu, Will Levinson, Vladimir Mukharlyamov and Sachin Srivastava

34291: A Nascent International Financial Channel of China’s Monetary Policy Transmission

Chang Ma, Alessandro Rebucci and Sili Zhou

34290: Optimal Dynamic Spatial Policy

Eric Donald, Masao Fukui and Yuhei Miyauchi

34289: Beliefs and Realities of Work and Childcare After Childbirth

Andrew Caplin, Søren Leth-Petersen and Christopher Tonetti

34288: Permanent Capital Losses after Banking Crises

Matthew Baron, Luc Laeven, Julien Pénasse and Yevhenii Usenko

34287: Türkiye's Homemade Crises

Hakan Kara and Alp Simsek

34286: Nature and Biodiversity Loss: A Research Agenda for Financial Economics

Stefano Giglio, Theresa Kuchler, Johannes Stroebel and Olivier Wang

34285: Monotone Ecological Inference

Hadi Elzayn, Jacob Goldin, Cameron Guage, Daniel E. Ho and Claire Morton

34284: The Dynamics of Technology Transfer: Multinational Investment in China and Rising Global Competition

Jaedo Choi, George Cui, Younghun Shim and Yongseok Shin

34283: The Changing Nature of International Trade and its Implications for Development

Pinelopi Goldberg and Michele Ruta

34282: Riding to Opportunity: Geographic and Household Effects from the Orphan Trains

Scott Abrahams and Daniel Keniston

34281: Supply-Side Opioid Restrictions and the Retail Pharmacy Market

Anne M. Burton and Brandyn Churchill

34280: Drivers of Digital Payment Adoption: Lessons from Brazil, Costa Rica, and Mexico

David Argente, Paula Gonzalez Alvarez, Esteban Méndez and Diana Van Patten

34279: Firm Capacity Underutilization and the Measurement of Productivity

Margaret McMillan and Hundanol A. Kebede

34278: Clean Rides, Healthy Lives: The Impact of Electric Vehicle Adoption on Air Quality and Infant Health

Cavit Baran, Janet Currie, Bahadir Dursun and Erdal Tekin

34277: Interest Rate Caps and Bank Loan Supply: Locking out the Small Borrower in the Great Depression

Haelim Anderson and Matthew Jaremski

34276: Climate Risk Exposure and Firms’ Climate Strategies

Xia Li and Caroline Flammer

34275: Asset Elasticities and Currency Risk Transfer

Carol Bertaut, Ester Faia, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Camilo Marchesini, Simon Paetzold and Martin Schmitz

34274: Why Don’t Struggling Students Do Their Homework? Disentangling Motivation and Study Productivity as Drivers of Human Capital Formation

Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman, John List, Joseph Price and Sutanuka Roy

34273: How Do Financial Conditions Affect Professional Conduct? Evidence from Opioid Prescriptions

Isil Erel, Shan Ge and Pengfei Ma

34272: Measuring Market Power in Network-Constrained Markets

Christoph Graf and Frank A. Wolak

34271: When Will Entrepreneurs Choose to Make Themselves Replaceable?

Joshua Gans

34270: Moving for Good: Educational Gains from Leaving Violence Behind

María Padilla-Romo and Cecilia Peluffo

34269: More Girls, Fewer Blues: Peer Gender Ratios and Adolescent Mental Health

Monica Deza and Maria Zhu

34268: The Downside of Fertility

Claudia Goldin

34267: Dynamic Competition for Sleepy Deposits

Mark L. Egan, Ali Hortaçsu, Nathan A. Kaplan, Adi Sunderam and Vincent Yao

34266: Where Collateral Sleeps

Gary Gorton, Chase Ross and Sharon Y. Ross

34265: Prescription for Disaster: The SSDI Rate, Pain, and Prescribing Practices

William Evans and Ethan M.J. Lieber

34264: Why Is Manufacturing Productivity Growth So Low?

Enghin Atalay, Ali Hortaçsu, Nicole Kimmel and Chad Syverson

34263: Inferring Fine-grained Migration Patterns across the United States

Gabriel Agostini, Rachel Young, Maria Fitzpatrick, Nikhil Garg and Emma J. Pierson

34262: From Kin to Creed: Missions and the Reconfiguration of Social and Moral Order in Colonial Congo

Augustin Bergeron

34261: Congestion Pricing, Carpooling, and Commuter Welfare

Michael Ostrovsky and Michael Schwarz

34260: Test-Optional College Admissions: ACT and SAT Scores, Applications, and Enrollment Changes

Christopher Avery, Lena Shi and Preston Magouirk

34259: Artificial Intelligence in Team Dynamics: Who Gets Replaced and Why?

Xienan Cheng, Mustafa Dogan and Pinar Yildirim

34258: Scale Economies, Input-Output Loops, and Trade

Dominick Bartelme, Yuyang Jiang, Konstantin Kucheryavyy and Andres Rodriguez-Clare

34257: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions

John Cochrane

34256: A Research Agenda for the Economics of Transformative AI

Erik Brynjolfsson, Anton Korinek and Ajay Agrawal

34255: How People Use ChatGPT

Aaron Chatterji, Thomas Cunningham, David Deming, Zoe Hitzig, Christopher Ong, Carl Yan Shan and Kevin Wadman

34254: Time for Mental Healthcare: Evidence from Paid Sick Leave Mandates

Matthew Eisenberg, Yimin Ge, Ezra Golberstein and Johanna Maclean

34253: Insuring Labor Income Shocks: The Role of the Dynasty

Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, Luigi Pistaferri and Marius A. K. Ring

34252: Business Owners and the Self-Employed: Thirty-Three Million (and Counting!)

Christopher Goetz, Henry Hyatt, Zachary Kroff, Kristin Sandusky and Martha Stinson

34251: Human Capital and Racial Inequality in the US Labor Market

Owen Thompson

34250: Deep Learning for Solving Economic Models

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde

34249: More to Live for: Health Investment Responses to Expected Retirement Wealth in Chile

Grant Miller, Nieves Valdés and Marcos Vera-Hernandez

34248: Substituting Talent with Transactions: Acquisitions as Responses to Immigration Restrictions

Jens Friedmann, Britta Glennon and Exequiel Hernandez

34247: Utilitarian or Quantile-Welfare Evaluation of Health Policy?

Charles Manski and John Mullahy

34246: Segregation, Spillovers, and the Locus of Racial Change

Donald Davis, Matthew Easton and Stephan Thies

34245: Abortion, Economic Hardship, and Crime

Erkmen Aslim, Wei Fu, Caitlin Myers, Erdal Tekin and Bingjin Xue

34243: Do Markets Believe in Transformative AI?

Isaiah Andrews and Maryam Farboodi

34242: Inward and Outward Migration under Shifting Legal-Democratic Regimes

Assaf Razin

34241: The Theory of Financial Stability Meets Reality: A Unifying Framework for Bank Regulation and Accounting Discretion

Nina Boyarchenko, Kinda Hachem and Anya V. Kleymenova

34240: Automation-Induced Innovation Shift

Lin Cong, Yao Lu, Hanqing Shi and Wu Zhu

34239: Social Substitution? Time Use Responses to Increased Workplace Isolation

Benjamin Cowan and Todd R. Jones

34238: Measuring Neighborhood Change: The Issue of Ex Post Borders

Edward Glaeser, Joseph Gyourko and Braydon Neiszner

34237: Regulating Biological Resources: Lessons From Marine Fisheries in the United States

Eyal G. Frank and Kimberly Oremus