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The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model

Pablo Guerron

No 13, Working Paper Series from North Carolina State University, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper computes the welfare costs of inflation in an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy. Both steady state and transitional welfare results are reported. I find that a 10 percent inflation entails a steady state welfare cost of 1.9 % of annual consumption. Taking into account trasitional effects, the cost drops to 1.2%. Under some circumstances, the transitional effects can erase most of the steady state welfare losses. The role of nominal frictions such as price/wage sluggishness as well as that of uncertainty are also addressed.

Keywords: Bayesian Estimation; DSGE; Inflation; Welfare; Transtional Dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E32 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31 pages
Date: 2007-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: First draft 2007-06
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