The determinants of vote intentions in Portugal

Francisco Veiga and Linda Veiga

No 6/2001, NIPE Working Papers from NIPE - Universidade do Minho

Abstract: This paper offers additional insights on the interactions between economics and politics in Portugal. We use an unexplored data set consisting of monthly polls on vote intentions for the main political parties in Portugal, since 1986. Results indicate that: (1) socialist governments had less electoral support than social democratic governments; (2) social democratic governments enjoyed a honeymoon period with the electorate while socialist governments did not; (3) vote intentions for incumbent parties tend to decrease with time in office; (4) voters hold incumbents responsible for the evolution of the economy; (5) the socialists are more penalized for rises in unemployment than are the social democrats.

Keywords: voting functions; responsibility hypothesis; Portugal; vote intentions. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E60 H80 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Determinants of Vote Intentions in Portugal (2004)
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