State Dependence in a Multi-state Model of Employment

Victoria Prowse

No 2005-W20, Economics Papers from Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford

Abstract: A multinomial choice framework is used to investigate the nature of women's transitions between full-time employment, part-time employment and non-employment. The stochastic framework allows time varying and time invariant unobserved preferences, and also controls for the possible endogenity of education, fertility and non-labor income. Significant positive true state dependence is found in both full-time and part-time employment. This finding is robust to the specification of unobserved preferences. The results are used the assess the dynamic effects of three temporary wage subsidies. All three policies have substantial effects on employment behavior for up to 6 years. However, obtaining a permanent increase in employment requires sustained or repeated interventions.

Keywords: Dynamic labor supply; Heterogeneity; Multinomial choice; State dependence. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C35 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2005-08-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nuf:econwp:0520

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