Treasury Working Paper Series

From New Zealand Treasury
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14/15: Income Mobility in New Zealand: A Descriptive Analysis

Kristie Carter, Penny Mok and Trinh Le

14/14: Pensions, Savings and Housing: A Life-cycle Framework with Policy Simulations

John Creedy, Norman Gemmell and Grant Scobie

14/13: The Role of Value Judgements in Measuring Inequality

John Creedy and Jesse Eedrah

14/12: Examining the Elasticity of New Zealand’s Current Account to the Real Exchange Rate

Kam Szeto and David Oxley

14/11: Housing Affordability: Lessons from the United States

Mark Skidmore

14/10: Migration and Macroeconomic Performance in New Zealand: Theory and Evidence

Julie Fry

14/09: Estimation of wage equations for New Zealand

Joseph Mercante and Penny Mok

14/08: Estimation of Labour Supply in New Zealand

Joseph Mercante and Penny Mok

14/07: Food Expenditure and GST in New Zealand

Christopher Ball, John Creedy and Michael Ryan

14/06: KiwiSaver: Comparing Survey and Administrative Data

Anton Samoilenko and David Law

14/05: A Gravity Model of Barriers to Trade in New Zealand

Murat Genc and David Law

14/04: An Empirical Investigation of sectoral-Level Capital Investments in New Zealand

Weshah Razzak

14/03: New Zealand Labour Market Dynamics: Pre- and Post-global Financial Crisis

Weshah Razzak

14/02: To Save or Save Not: Intergenerational Neutrality and the Expansion of New Zealand Superannuation

Andrew Coleman

14/01: Recent Unemployment Experience in New Zealand

Jeff Borland

13/31: Sources of international investment data in the Longitudinal Business Database

Lynda Sanderson

13/30: Macroeconomic Policy in New Zealand: From the Great Inflation to the Global Financial Crisis

Bruce White

13/29: Estimating Firm-Level Effective Marginal Tax Rates and the User Cost of Capital in New Zealand

Richard Fabling, Norman Gemmell, Richard Kneller and Lynda Sanderson

13/28: Retirement Income Policy and National Savings

David Law

13/27: Revenue-Maximising Elasticities of Taxable Income in Multi-Rate Income Tax Structures

John Creedy and Norman Gemmell

13/26: How Does the Exchange Rate Affect the Real Economy? A Literature Survey

Enzo Cassino and David Oxley

13/25: Intergenerational Contracts and Time Consistency: Implications for Policy Settings and Governance in the Social Welfare System

Lewis Evans and Neil Quigley

13/24: Revenue-Maximising Elasticities of Taxable Income in Multi-Rate Income Tax Structures

John Creedy

13/23: Tales of three budgets: Changes in long-term fiscal projections through the GFC and beyond

Matthew Bell and Paul Rodway

13/22: Can Automatic Tax Increases Pay for the Public Spending Effects of Population Ageing in New Zealand?

John Creedy and Norman Gemmell

13/21: Population Ageing and Productivity: Implications and Policy Options for New Zealand

Ross Guest

13/20: The Requirements for Long-Run Fiscal Sustainability

Robert Buckle and Amy Cruickshank

13/19: Parameter Uncertainty and the Fiscal Multiplier

Jamie Murray

13/18: Estimating New Zealand’s Output Gap Using a Small Macro Model

Kam Leong Szeto

13/17: Empirical Evidence on Growth Spillovers from China to New Zealand

Denise Osborn and Tugrul Vehbi

13/16: The Outlook for China’s Growth and its Impact on New Zealand Exports

Scott Bowman and Patrick Conway

13/15: China’s recent growth and its impact on the New Zealand economy

Scott Bowman and Patrick Conway

13/14: Housing Affordability in New Zealand: Evidence from Household Surveys

David Law and Lisa Meehan

13/13: The Distributional Impact of Population Ageing

Omar A Aziz, Christopher Ball, John Creedy and Jesse Eedrah

13/12: Intergenerational Smoothing of New Zealand’s Future Fiscal Costs

Ross Guest

13/11: Alternative Distributions for Inequality and Poverty Comparisons

John Creedy

13/10: Private Returns to Tertiary Education - How Does New Zealand Compare to the OECD?

James Zuccollo, Sholeh Maani, Bill Kaye-Blake and Lulu Zeng

13/09: Population Ageing and the Growth of Income and Consumption Tax Revenue

Christopher Ball and John Creedy

13/08: Regression Estimates of the Elasticity of Taxable Income and the Choice of Instrument

Simon Carey, John Creedy, Norman Gemmell and Josh Teng

13/07: Tax Policy with Uncertain Future Costs: Some Simple Models

Christopher Ball and John Creedy

13/06: Social Expenditure in New Zealand: Stochastic Projections

John Creedy and Kathleen Makale

13/05: New Zealand Households and the 2008/09 Recession

Christopher Ball and Michael Ryan

13/04: Measuring Saving Rates in New Zealand: An Update

Emma Gorman, Grant Scobie and Yongjoon Paek

13/03: Export performance, invoice currency, and heterogeneous exchange rate pass-through

Richard Fabling and Lynda Sanderson

13/02: The Effects of Fiscal Policy in New Zealand: Evidence from a VAR Model with Debt Constraints

Oscar Parkyn and Tugrul Vehbi

13/01: An Analysis of Benefit Flows in New Zealand Using a Social Accounting Framework

Omar Aziz, Nick Carroll and John Creedy

12/05: Economy-Wide Impacts of Industry Policy

Anita King

12/04: Average Marginal Income Tax Rates for New Zealand, 1907-2009

Fiona McAlister, Debasis Bandyopadhyay, Robert Barro, Jeremy Couchman, Norman Gemmell and Gordon Liao

12/03: The Elasticity of Taxable Income in New Zealand

Iris Claus, John Creedy and Josh Teng

12/02: Health and Retirement of Older New Zealanders

Emma Gorman, Grant Scobie and Andy Towers