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Between Drought and Floods: Capitalizing on Extremes for Agricultural Resilience

Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub

No 2609, Policy briefs on Commodities & Energy from Policy Center for the New South

Abstract: After more than seven years of drought, Morocco experienced exceptionally abundant rainfall during the winter of 2025-2026, reflecting increasingly marked water variability. This rapid alternation between chronic deficits and occasional excesses reveals the country's water paradox: a system historically centered on scarcity must now manage concentrated and intense extreme episodes. Hydraulic infrastructures helped limit human and economic impacts and ensured significant replenishment of water reserves. Nevertheless, some agricultural areas suffered localized losses affecting crops, forage stocks, livestock and value-chain logistics, exposing structural vulnerabilities. At the same time, groundwater recharge and improved dam filling rates create favorable prospects for upcoming agricultural seasons. These events underline the need to progressively adjust the hydraulic model to integrate excess water management and strengthen agricultural resilience and food security in the face of increasing climatic variability.

Date: 2026-02
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