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Mapping emerging critical risks

Joshua Polchar and Nestor Alfonzo Santamaria

No 78, OECD Working Papers on Public Governance from OECD Publishing

Abstract: This paper focuses on identifying and understanding new risks that could significantly shape the future. These risks span social, environmental, and technological challenges, including climate change, resource shortages, geopolitical tensions, and emerging threats like cyberattacks or the misuse of artificial intelligence. Drawing on expert input and innovative tools, the report examines how governments and societies can better anticipate and respond to these risks. Emerging risks often evolve quickly, with the potential to disrupt economies, societies, and global stability. By recognising these threats early, governments, businesses, and communities can take proactive steps to adapt, protect their interests, and strengthen resilience. This forward-looking approach is crucial in an increasingly interconnected and unpredictable world, where crises can escalate rapidly and affect multiple sectors. The findings are valuable for policymakers, risk analysts, and organisations striving to enhance preparedness and decision-making in the face of uncertainty. By fostering a deeper understanding of future challenges, the report aims to equip stakeholders with the insights needed to address risks before they become critical, ensuring a safer and more sustainable future for all.

Date: 2024-12-16
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