Paris after Trump: An inconvenient insight

Christoph Boehringer () and Thomas Fox Rutherford ()
Additional contact information
Christoph Boehringer: University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics
Thomas Fox Rutherford: University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Christoph Böhringer

No V-400-17, Working Papers from University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics

Abstract: With his announcement to pull the US out of the Paris Agreement US President Donald Trump has snubbed the international climate policy community. Key remaining parties to the Agreement such as Europe and China might call for carbon tariffs on US imports as sanctioning instrument to coerce US compliance. Our analysis, however, reveals an inconvenient insight for advocates of carbon tariffs: Given the possibility of retaliatory tariffs across all imported goods, carbon tariffs do not constitute a credible threat for the US. A tariff war with its main trading partners China and Europe might make the US worse off than compliance to the Paris Agreement but China, in particular, should prefer US defection to a tariff war.

Keywords: Paris Agreement; US withdrawal; carbon tariffs; optimal tariffs; tariff war; computable general equilibrium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-06, Revised 2017-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-env and nep-reg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Published in Oldenburg Working Papers V-400-17

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Related works:
Working Paper: Paris after Trump: An Inconvenient Insight (2017)
Working Paper: Paris after Trump: An Inconvenient Insight (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:old:dpaper:400

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