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Smart hedging against carbon leakage

Christoph Boehringer (), Knut Einar Rosendahl and Halvor Briseid Storroesten ()
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Christoph Boehringer: University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics
Halvor Briseid Storroesten: Statistics Norway, Oslo / Norway

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Christoph Böhringer

No V-427-19, Working Papers from University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics

Abstract: Policy makers in the EU and elsewhere are concerned that unilateral carbon pricing induces carbon leakage through relocation of emission-intensive and trade-exposed industries to other regions. A common measure to mitigate such leakage is to combine an emission trading system (ETS) with output-based allocation (OBA) of allowances to exposed industries. We first show analytically that in a situation with an ETS combined with OBA, it is optimal to impose a consumption tax on the goods that are entitled to OBA, where the tax is equivalent in value to the OBA-rate. Then, using a multi-region, multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model calibrated to empirical data, we quantify the welfare gains for the EU to impose such a consumption tax on top of its existing ETS with OBA. We run Monte Carlo simulations to account for uncertain leakage exposure of goods entitled to OBA. The consumption tax increases welfare whether the goods are highly exposed to leakage or not. Thus, policy makers in regions with OBA can only gain by introducing the consumption tax. It can hence be regarded as smart hedging against carbon leakage.

Keywords: Carbon leakage; output-based allocation; consumption tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-10, Revised 2019-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Published in Oldenburg Working Papers V-427-19

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http://www.uni-oldenburg.de/fileadmin/user_upload/ ... ete/vwl/V-427-19.pdf First version, 2019 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Smart hedging against carbon leakage (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Smart Hedging Against Carbon Leakage (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Smart hedging against carbon leakage (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Smart hedging against carbon leakage (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Smart hedging against carbon leakage (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Smart hedging against carbon leakage (2015) Downloads
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