EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Potential Consequences of Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: A Study of Three Candidate Regions

Eduard Hochreiter, Anton Korinek and Pierre Siklos

Working Papers from Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank)

Abstract: The paper examines the macroeconomic consequences of selecting alternative exchange rate regimes of countries in three regions. In particular, it studies whether Austria, the Netherlands, Canada and New Zealand made the right monetary regime choices between 1970 and 2000. We focus on the role of asymmetric shocks as a core determinant for the evaluation of various monetary regimes by studying the impact of a hard peg, a full monetary union, or floating exchange rates (with or without inflation targeting) on selected macroeconomic variables. Estimates of structural VARs are used to ascertain if the countries under review meet the essential ingredients of an optimum currency area (OCA) and thus are candidates for a monetary union. Counterfactual experiments help to study economic outcomes had these countries pursued alternative monetary strategies. We conclude that a floating regime with inflation targeting is best for Canada, a monetary union with Australia is the best course of action for New Zealand, and monetary union is the appropriate choice for the Netherlands while there are reasons to believe that Austria might have been better off with a floating regime, at least for a time. We also find that good monetary policy is not confined to any particular exchange rate regime and that political and institutional factors weigh heavily in this decision.

Keywords: Exchange rate regimes; Monetary Union; SVARs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E30 F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 63
Date: 2002-10-10
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.oenb.at/dam/jcr:b899fb84-e6c7-42b9-96c ... /wp76_tcm16-6169.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The potential consequences of alternative exchange rate regimes: A study of three candidate regions (2003) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:onb:oenbwp:76

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Economic Studies Division, POB 61, A-1011 Vienna, Austria

The price is Free subject to availability.

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) P.O. Box 61, A-1011 Vienna, Austria. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Markus Knell ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-31
Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbwp:76