Beyond Random Causes: Harmonic Analyis of Business Cycles at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute

Marco Paulo Vianna Franco, Leonardo Costa Ribeiro and Eduardo Albuquerque

No 6aesk, OSF Preprints from Center for Open Science

Abstract: This article proposes a historical assessment of harmonic analysis of business cycles and its ability to both decompose and build cycles, as received at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute. It traces how the Fourier transform arrived at the Institute, mediated by Henry L. Moore, in the works and actions of Albert Vainshtein, Nikolai Chetverikov, and Nikolai Kondratiev, ultimately leading to Eugen Slutsky’s well-known 1927 article The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclic Processes. Although the evidence does not warrant the assumption that there was an orchestrated effort at the Institute to push forward a research agenda on harmonic analysis of business cycles, it certainly unfolded as more than the summation of random events and individual incursions. Moreover, the Institute as a whole could have produced much more on this matter if it had escaped Stalinist oppression for at least a few more years.

Date: 2021-03-26
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://osf.io/download/605e3d697ae19600e4acc884/

Related works:
Journal Article: BEYOND RANDOM CAUSES: HARMONIC ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES AT THE MOSCOW CONJUNCTURE INSTITUTE (2022)
Working Paper: Beyond Random Causes: Harmonic Analysis of Business Cycles at the Moscow Conjuncture Institute (2021)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:osfxxx:6aesk

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/6aesk

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in OSF Preprints from Center for Open Science
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSF ().