Long term world human population, lifespan and GDP growth model based on the in-caput-evolution theory and its impact on the carrying capacity

Joe Ganio-Mego

No dm3jn, OSF Preprints from Center for Open Science

Abstract: The human species is a hybrid species that aggregates DNA based molecules that constitute the bodies of the species individuals and material that form the belongings of the species individuals. The molecules' aggregation is called life. Material aggregation is called technology. Both life and technology evolve for the sake of existing. The evolution of life is the evolution in-vivo. The human species has almost stopped evolving in-vivo. The dominant evolutionary mechanism of humans is now through technology. Technology evolves in the heads of humans. Therefore this way of evolving can be called in-caput. The in-caput-evolution transformed into equations yields a model of the world that can predict the factors of population, world GDPPC and human lifespan in the long term (from 2000 CE to 6000 CE). Evolution is a series of unlimited s-curves performing a reverse fall into negentropy. The current dominant s-curve is the one that started around 1850 CE. This s-curve can also be called the technarian age jump. The in-caput-evolution theory shows that we are now likely to have just peaked at the most dynamic phase of this s-curve. Things will therefore switch for the human species, going from accelerating growth to decelerating. That will bring about a change of attitude regarding many factors, while, in the meantime, it is very likely that a new s-curve will get ready to start.

Date: 2022-05-25
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-evo and nep-pke
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:osfxxx:dm3jn

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/dm3jn

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