Road Violence and Perceptions of Safety among Pedestrians and Cyclists

Jose Pina-Sánchez, Alexander Trinidad and Ian Loader
Additional contact information
Jose Pina-Sánchez: University of Leeds
Alexander Trinidad: University of Cologne

No 4dnrc_v1, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: This registered report investigates whether involvement in road traffic collisions meaningfully shapes pedestrians’ and cyclists’ perceptions of safety. Drawing on criminological insights - particularly the fear‑victimisation paradox - the study explores the common policy assumption that reducing collisions alone improves subjective safety. Using ESRA2 survey data from 24 European countries, the analysis estimates both average and conditional treatment effects of collision experience on perceived safety, accounting for vulnerability (age, gender) and exposure (active travel frequency). The study employs equivalence testing and counterfactual modelling to assess whether victims’ perceptions differ from non‑victims’. Findings will clarify whether collision reduction strategies are sufficient to encourage active travel or whether broader interventions addressing vulnerability and environmental cues are required.

Date: 2026-04-24
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://osf.io/download/69ea775e9ef5bad825bf78a8/

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:4dnrc_v1

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/4dnrc_v1

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in SocArXiv from Center for Open Science
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSF ().