The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement

Mounu Prem, Juan Vargas and Daniel Mejía

No 6gmpd_v1, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: Policies based on prohibition and repression to fight the war on drugs have largely failed in a variety of contexts. However, incentive-based policies may also fail and have unintended negative consequences if policymakers do not properly anticipate behavioral reactions. This is a particularly important concern in the case of policies announced prior to their implementation. In this paper, we show that a naive and untimely policy announcement generated an unprecedented escalation in cocaine production in Colombia, offsetting almost 20 years and billions of dollars of U.S.-backed efforts to stop drug production and cartel action.

Date: 2020-10-09
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Related works:
Journal Article: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement (2023)
Working Paper: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement (2020)
Working Paper: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement (2019)
Working Paper: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement (2019)
Working Paper: The rise and persistence of illegal crops: Evidence from a naive policy announcement (2019)
Working Paper: The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement (2019)
Working Paper: The rise and persistence of illegal crops: evidence from a naive policy announcement (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:6gmpd_v1

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/6gmpd_v1

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