(De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa

Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Ömer Özak

No 8uxd4, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: We explore the effect of historical ethnic borders on contemporary conflict in Africa. We document that the intensive and extensive margins of contemporary conflict are higher close to historical ethnic borders. Exploiting variations across artificial regions within an ethnicity's historical homeland and a theory-based instrumental variable approach, we find that regions crossed by historical ethnic borders have 27 percentage points higher probability of conflict and 7.9 percentage points higher probability of being the initial location of a conflict. We uncover several key underlying mechanisms: competition for agricultural land, population pressure, cultural similarity, and weak property rights.

Date: 2024-05-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-evo, nep-gro, nep-his, nep-inv and nep-mac
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Related works:
Working Paper: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa (2024)
Working Paper: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa (2023)
Working Paper: (De facto) Historical Ethnic Borders and Contemporary Conflict in Africa (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:8uxd4

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/8uxd4

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