The Survival Reflex Loop: Understanding Why Nepal Remains Fragile Despite Continuous Reforms (2024–2025)

Pramod Shahi

No azbkw_v1, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: This paper explores why Nepal’s state keeps surviving reform instead of transforming through it. Using the Reflex Theory of Fragility, it identifies nine behavioral layers: administrative, social, bureaucratic, generational, cognitive, temporal, fiscal, geopolitical, and emotional. Each layer explains how motion replaces evolution. Based on evidence from 2023 to 2025, the study links government documents, institutional reports, and verified events to show that every crisis produces activity that protects the system more than it changes it. The analysis follows this pattern across FATF compliance, transitional justice, foreign aid, protest movements, and road safety planning. These cases reveal that fragility in Nepal is not a moment of failure but a learned behavior of adaptation. Every disruption is absorbed and reorganized to restore balance. Instead of collapsing, power adjusts. The Survival Reflex Loop describes this habit of endurance, where reform, time, and hope become instruments for continuity rather than transformation.

Date: 2025-11-03
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:azbkw_v1

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/azbkw_v1

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