Measuring the Power Gap: A Comprehensive National Power Index Assessment of India and China (2024–25)

Rahul Singh

No fhgzj_v1, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: This paper constructs a seven-pillar Comprehensive National Power (CNP) Index to provide a transparent, replicable benchmark of the relative power positions of India and China within a ten-country reference group comprising the United States, China, India, Russia, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Brazil, and the Republic of Korea. Drawing on twenty-one publicly available indicators sourced from the IMF World Economic Outlook (2024), SIPRI (2025), WIPO Global Innovation Index (2024), Stanford HAI Global AI Vibrancy Tool (2024), UNDP Human Development Report (2025), Brand Finance Global Soft Power Index (2025), the Fund for Peace Fragile States Index (2024), the World Bank World Governance Indicators (2023), and the UN E-Government Development Index (2024), each indicator is subjected to min–max normalisation before being aggregated into pillar scores and a weighted composite index. The results show that China’s CNP score of 62.35 leads India’s 33.83 by 28.5 index points—a gap driven primarily by China’s dominance in the Economic (pillar score: 78.2 vs. 16.9), Technological (57.8 vs. 18.8), and Diplomatic (64.7 vs. 23.6) dimensions. India records superior scores in Human Capital (62.5 vs. 55.5) and Soft Power (68.7 vs. 61.8), suggesting latent assets whose conversion into strategic capability remains the central policy challenge. The paper situates these quantitative findings within the broader theoretical literature on power transition, argues that the gap is structurally significant but not irreversible, and derives policy implications for India’s long-run strategic posture.

Date: 2026-03-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-cna, nep-inv and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:fhgzj_v1

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/fhgzj_v1

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