Estimating the Long Term Future of Religion with a Mathematical Model

Joe Ganio-Mego

No zw3ky, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: History and archaeology show that humans' importance to divination went from zero to maximum from the paleolithic period to the neolithic period. With the development of writing, divination transformed itself into religion as a set of shared divination behaviours. After the Neolithic period, the importance of religion started to decline, and in current conditions, the importance of religion can be considered a reduced proportion to the tithe amount. A good mathematical proxy of humanity's importance to religion can be found based on the technology level. Indeed, the factors doubt, knowledge, the complexity of doubt and complexity of knowledge play a significant role in humanity's importance to religion and are all connected to the technology level. By creating a mathematical formula based on the technology level, the importance that humanity gives to divination can be approximated. That formula shows that the importance of religion will go to zero within a century. Religion will be phased out and never come back. The reward function that humans have felt by executing rules based on structured divination, i.e. religion, will go to zero.

Date: 2022-05-25
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://osf.io/download/628becedbe4dfd000d66dc5a/

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:zw3ky

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/zw3ky

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in SocArXiv from Center for Open Science
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSF ().