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The End of Import-Led Growth? North Korean Evidence

Sumie Sato and Mototsugu Fukushige ()
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Sumie Sato: Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University

No 07-38, Discussion Papers in Economics and Business from Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics

Abstract: In this paper, we investigate causal relationships among exports, imports, and economic growth in North Korea by using time series data for the period between 1964 and 2004. The empirical results show that there was Granger causality from imports to GNP in the first half of the period. However, there was a causal relationship from GNP to imports in the second half of the period. This implies that economic growth stimulates imports in North Korea. The North Korean economy escaped its import-led growth situation, which some socialist economies had experienced.

Keywords: North Korea; import-led growth; export-led growth; causality test. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E10 O11 P27 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 20 pages
Date: 2007-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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