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Economic Integration and Agglomeration of Multinational Production with Transfer Pricing

Hayato Kato and Hirofumi Okoshi

No 20-19, Discussion Papers in Economics and Business from Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics

Abstract: Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We propose a two-country model in which multinationals choose the locations of production plants and foreign distribution affiliates and shift profits between home plants and foreign affiliates by manipulating transfer prices in intra-firm trade. We show that when trade costs are high, plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, but surprisingly this location pattern reverses when they are low. Unlike existing models with single-plant firms, the impact of economic integration is non-monotonic, which we empirically confirm: a fall in trade costs first decreases and then increases the share of plants in the high-tax country. We also analyze tax competition and find that allowing for transfer pricing makes competition tougher, indicating a possibility of international coordination on transfer-pricing regulation making the world better off.

Keywords: Profit shifting; Multinational firms; Intra-firm trade; Trade costs; Foreign direct investment (FDI) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F12 F23 H25 H26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 65 pages
Date: 2021-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-pub
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http://www2.econ.osaka-u.ac.jp/econ_society/dp/2019.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Economic Integration and Agglomeration of Multinational Production with Transfer Pricing (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Economic Integration and Agglomeration of Multinational Production with Transfer Pricing (2019) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osk:wpaper:2019

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