Regional Integration, Sectoral Adjustments and Natural Groupings in East Asia

Hiro Lee and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe ()

No 07E008, OSIPP Discussion Paper from Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University

Abstract: Although East Asian countries were relatively inactive in signing free trade agreements (FTAs) until the end of 1990s, a number of FTAs involving East Asian countries have been signed since the turn of the century. Because sectoral interests can exert significant influence on policy negotiations, the sectoral results would be particularly important for political economy considerations. The objective of this study is to compare welfare gains and sectoral adjustments resulting from various FTA scenarios in East Asia using a dynamic global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The RCA rankings of commodities with various FTA scenarios and those with the global trade liberalization are correlated to examine how gnatural h each grouping would be. The results suggest that the ASEAN+3 FTA, with relatively large welfare gains and small structural adjustments, could be a facilitating intermediate step towards global free trade. Some of the smaller FTAs, such as the ASEAN-China and ASEAN-Korea FTAs, would result in large structural adjustments for ASEAN countries.

Keywords: Regional integration; FTA; RCA; East Asia; CGE model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2007-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp, nep-int and nep-sea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Regional integration, sectoral adjustments and natural groupings in East Asia (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osp:wpaper:07e008

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