An innovative approach to National Football League standings using optimal bonus points
Niven Winchester and
Raymond T. Stefani (stefani@csulb.edu)
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Raymond T. Stefani: College of Engineering, California State University, Long Beach
No 905, Working Papers from University of Otago, Department of Economics
Abstract:
Bonus points provide a simple way to improve the accuracy of league standings. We investigate the inclusion of bonuses in the National Football League (NFL) using a prediction model built on league points. Both touchdown-based and narrow-loss bonuses are shown to be significant. Our preferred system awards four points for a win, two for a tie, one point for scoring four or more touchdowns and one point for losing by seven or fewer points. Such a system would also make it easier for supporters to identify playoff contenders and place importance on otherwise meaningless end-of-game plays.
Keywords: tournament design; sports predictions; NFL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2009-06, Revised 2009-06
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:otg:wpaper:0905
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