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ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION,GOVERNANCE AND LOAN DEFAULTS IN AFRICA

Svetlana Adrianova (), Badi Baltagi (), Panicos Demetriades () and David Fielding ()
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Svetlana Adrianova: University of Leicester

No 1408, Working Papers from University of Otago, Department of Economics

Abstract: We present a theoretical model of moral hazard and adverse selection in an imperfectly competitive loans market that is suitable for application to Africa. The model allows for variation in both the level of contract enforcement (depending on the quality of governance) and the degree of market segmentation (depending on the level of ethnic fractionalization). The model predicts a specific form of non-linearity in the effects of these variables on the loan default rate. Empirical analysis using African panel data for 111 individual banks in 29 countries over 2000-2008 provides strong evidence for these predictions. Our results have important implications for the conditions under which policy reform will enhance financial development.

Keywords: Ethnic fractionalization; Governance; Financial development; African Banks; Panel data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G21 O16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2014-10, Revised 2014-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr
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Downloads: (external link)
http://www.otago.ac.nz/economics/otago087297.pdf First version, 2014 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Ethnic Fractionalization, Governance and Loan Defaults in Africa (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: Ethnic fractionalization, governance, and loan defaults in Africa (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Ethnic Fractionalization, Governance and Loan Defaults in Africa (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Ethnic Fractionalization, Governance and Loan Defaults in Africa (2014) Downloads
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