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Notes on the Underground: Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Economies

Andrea Ferrero () and Martin Seneca

No 158, OxCarre Working Papers from Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford

Abstract: How should monetary policy respond to a commodity price shock in a resource-rich economy? As in the baseline New Keynesian model, the central bank of a small oil-exporting economy faces a tradeoff, between the stabilization of domestic infl ation and an appropriately defined output gap. But in our framework the output gap depends on oil technology, and the weight on output gap stabilization is increasing in the importance of the oil sector. Given substantial spillovers to the rest of the economy, optimal policy calls for a reduction of the interest rate following a drop in the oil price. In contrast, a central bank with a mandate to stabilize consumer price infl ation would raise interest rates to limit the infl ationary impact of an exchange rate depreciation.

Keywords: small open economy; oil export; monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 J11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-ene, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-opm
Date: 2015
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Related works:
Working Paper: Notes on the Underground: Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Economies (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Notes on the Underground: Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Economies (2015) Downloads
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