Economics Series Working Papers

From University of Oxford, Department of Economics
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2025: Sanctions and Currencies in Global Credit

Marco Garofalo, Giovanni Rosso and Roger Vicquéry

2025: The Rise of Intangible Capital and the Macroeconomic Implications

Andrea Chiavari and Sampreet Singh Goraya

2025: Political Influence Through Microtargeting

Michael Eldar and Sinem Hidir

2025: Overreaction and Forecast Horizon: Longer-term Expectations Overreact More, Shorter-term Expectations Drive Fluctuations

Basil Halperin and J. Zachary Mazlish

2025: Policy Transition Risk, Carbon Premiums, and Asset Prices

Christoph Hambel and Frederick Van Der Ploeg

2025: Battle of the markups: conflict inflation and the aspirational channel of monetary policy transmission

Frederick Van Der Ploeg and Tim Willems

2025: The Macroeconomics of Data: Scale, Product Choice, and Pricing in the Information Age

Alexandre Kohlhas and Vladimir Asriyan

2025: Defensive Hiring and Creative Destruction

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

2025: Multinational Networks and Trade Participation

Paola Conconi, Fabrizio Leone, Glenn Magerman and Catherine Thomas

2025: Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li, Le Xu and Francesco Zanetti

2025: House Price Expectations and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Survey Data

Vedanta Dhamija, Ricardo Nunes and Roshni Tara

2025: The Political-Economic Risks of AI

Jean-Paul Carvalho

2025: Perception and Salience of Social Security Contribution Incentives: Evidence from Voluntary Contributions

Ander Iraizoz-Olaetxea

2025: Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence

Masashige Hamano, Philip Schnattinger, Mototsugu Shintani, Iichiro Uesugi and Francesco Zanetti

2025: Monetary Policy in Open Economies with Production Networks

Zhesheng Qiu, Yicheng Wang, Le Xu and Francesco Zanetti

2024: The Evolution of Gender in the Labor Market

Claudia Olivetti, Jessica Pan and Barbara Petrongolo

2024: Deep Integration and Trade: UK Firms in the Wake of Brexit

Rebecca Freeman, Marco Garofalo, Enrico Longoni, Kalina Manova, Rebecca Mari, Thomas Prayer and Thomas Sampson

2024: Breaking Invisible Barriers: Does Fast Internet Improve Access to Input Markets?

Banu Demir, Beata Javorcik and Piyush Panigrahi

2024: Implementing Walrasian Equilibrium: The Languages of Product-Mix Auctions

Elizabeth Baldwin, Paul Klemperer and Edwin Lock

2024: The Perils of a Dual Mandate

Cristiano Cantore and Vedanta Dhamija

2024: Optimal Pre-Analysis Plans: Statistical Decisions Subject to Implementability

Maximilian Kasy and Jann Spiess

2024: Should Competition Monopolise Merger Policy?

John Vickers

2024: Housing and Macroprudential Policy

John Muellbauer

2024: Payments for Ecosystem Services Programs and Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture

Youngho Kim

2024: The political economy of industrial development organisations: are they run by politicians or bureaucrats?

Lottie Field

2024: The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements

Leonardo Melosi, Hiroshi Morita, Anna Rogantini Picco and Francesco Zanetti

2024: Trading around Geopolitics

Giancarlo Corsetti, Banu Demir and Beata Javorcik

2024: Third-Best Carbon Taxation: Trading off emission cuts, equity, and efficiency

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg, Armon Rezai and Miguel Tovar

2024: Birth Timing and Spacing: Implications for Parental Leave Dynamics and Child Penalties

Mathias Jensen, Abigail Adams and Barbara Petrongolo

2024: Selecting the Best: The Persistent Effects of Luck

Mikhail Drugov, Margaret Meyer and Marc Möller

2024: Slowdown in Immigration, Labor Shortages, and Declining Skill Premia

Federico S. Mandelman, Yang Yu, Francesco Zanetti and Andrei Zlate

2024: Gendered change: 150 years of transformation in US hours

L. Rachel Ngai, Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

2024: Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease

Mariano Kulish, James Morley, Nadine Yamout and Francesco Zanetti

2024: The Price Effects of Prohibiting Price Parity Clauses: Evidence from International Hotel Groups

Jack (Peiyao) Ma, Andrea Mantovani, Carlo Reggiani, Annette Broocks and Néstor Duch-Brown

2024: TFPR: Dispersion and Cyclicality

Russell Cooper and Ozgen Ozturk

2024: The Adoption and Termination of Suppliers over the Business Cycle

Le Xu, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

2024: Two Centuries of Systemic Bank Runs

Rustam Jamilov, Tobias König, Karsten Müller and Farzad Saidi

2024: Dominant Currency Pricing Transition

Marco Garofalo, Giovanni Rosso and Roger Vicquéry

2024: Estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution using dividend tax news shocks

Martin Holm, Rustam Jamilov, Marek Jasinski and Plamen Nenov

2024: Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

2024: Sharing the caring? Dynamic interaction between siblings in the provision of care to parents

Timothy Hunt

2024: The profitability of mergers in symmetric Cournot oligopoly

Simon Cowan

2024: The impact of trade on income inequality in Mexico

Andrea Bernini and Olaf J. de Groot

2024: Sixty Years of the Voting Rights Act: Progress and Pitfalls

Andrea Bernini, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini and Cecilia Testa

2024: Granular Sentiments

Rustam Jamilov, Alexandre Kohlhas, Oleksandr Talavera and Mao Zhang

2024: The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory

Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li and Francesco Zanetti

2024: Strategic Use of Product Delays to Shape Word-of-Mouth Communication

Alexei Parahonyak and Nick Vikander

2024: The causal effect of a health treatment on beliefs, stated preferences and memories

Alberto Prati and Charlotte Saucet

2023: Profits, ‘Superstar’ Firms and Capital Flows

Lidia Smitkova

2023: Multibrand Price Dispersion

Mark Armstrong and John Vickers

2023: Sinking Ships: Illiquidity and the Predictability of Returns on Real Assets in Recessions

Artur Doshchyn

2023: Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy

Riccardo De Bonis, Danilo Liberati, John Muellbauer and Concetta Rondinelli

2023: That’s what she said: An Empirical Investigation on the Gender Gap in Inflation Expectations

Lovisa Reiche

2023: How should we model health as a dynamic process?

Alexandra Elizabeth Brown

2023: Zero-Sum Thinking, the Evolution of Effort Suppressing Beliefs, and Economic Development

Jean-Paul Carvalho, Augustin Bergeron, Joseph Henrich, Nathan Nun and Jonathan Weigel

2023: Conjugate Persuasion

Ian Jewitt and Daniel Quigley

2023: The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships

Abi Adams-Prassl, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix and Ning Zhang

2023: Effects of Parental Death on Labor Market Outcomes and Gender Inequalities

Mathias Jensen and Ning Zhang

2023: Vacancy Duration and Wages

Ihsaan Bassier, Alan Manning and Barbara Petrongolo

2023: The adoption of digital practices by economic regulators: mapping digital pathways for consumer e-participation

Alena V. Pivavarava and Christel Koop

2023: Algorithmic bias and racial inequality: A critical review

Maximilian Kasy

2023: Black empowerment and white mobilization: the effects of the Voting Rights Act

Andrea Bernini, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini and Cecilia Testa

2023: Incentive Complexity, Bounded Rationality and Effort Provision

Johannes Abeler, David Huffman and Colin Raymond

2023: Disclosure and Incentives in Teams

Paula Onuchic and João Ramos

2023: Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it

John Muellbauer

2023: Beyond the Hump: Structural Change in an Open Economy

Lidia Smitkova

2023: Visual Bias

Giulia Caprini

2023: The political economy of AI: Towards democratic control of the means of prediction

Maximilian Kasy

2023: Robust combination testing: methods and application to COVID-19 detection

Sanjay Jain, Jónas Oddur Jónasson, Jean Pauphilet and Kamalini Ramdas

2023: Identification of ex ante returns using elicited choice probabilities

Romauld Méango

2023: Welfare-increasing monopolization

Simon Cowan

2023: The effect of wage rigidity on the transmission of monetary policy to inequality

Momo Komatsu

2023: Background Matters, but not Whether Parents are Immigrants: Outcomes of Children Born in Denmark

Mathias Fjællegaard Jensen and Alan Manning

2023: Predicting life outcomes with automatic thinking measures in a marginalized population

Lia Q. Flores and Julian Jamison

2023: A two sample size estimator for large data sets

Martin O’Connell, Howard Smith and Øyvind Thomassen

2023: Firm Concentration & Job Design: The Case of Schedule Flexible Work Arrangements

Abi Adams-Prassl, Maria Balgova, Matthias Qian and Tom Waters

2023: The Quality of Society and Happiness: Fairness, Trust, and Community in China

John Knight and Ramani Gunatilaka

2023: Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty

Luca Gambetti, Dimitris Korobilis, John D. Tsoukalas and Francesco Zanetti

2023: Implicit contracts, incentive compatibility, and involuntary unemployment: thirty years on

W. Bentley Macleod and James Malcomson

2023: Tradability, Productivity, and Regional Disparities: theory and UK evidence

Anthony Venables and Patricia G.Rice