Expectational Bottlenecks and the Emerging of New Organizational Forms
Giorgio Rampa () and
Francesco Bogliacino
No 159, Quaderni di Dipartimento from University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods
Abstract:
In this article we discuss the dynamics of organizational change when agents have heterogeneous initial conjectures and do learn. In this framework, conjectural equilibrium is defined as a steady state of the learning process, and all the adjustment occurs in disequilibrium. We discuss the properties of the system under different “rationality” assumptions, and using well-known learning algorithms. We prove analytically that multiplicity of equilibria, and failure of good organizational routines, cannot be ruled out: better, they are fairly probable. Stability is a crucial matter: it is shown to depend on initial conjectures. Finally, learning does not necessarily select the best.
JEL-codes: C67 E01 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2012-01
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Journal Article: Expectational bottlenecks and the emerging of new organizational forms (2014) 
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