PIER Working Paper Archive

From Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
133 South 36th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104.
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Administrator (pier@econ.upenn.edu).

Access Statistics for this working paper series.
Is something missing from the series or not right? See the RePEc data check for the archive and series.

25-011: Taxes on Lifetime Income: A Good Idea?

Dirk Krueger and Chunzan Wu

25-010: Misspecification Averse Preferences

Alfonso Maselli

25-009: Clustered Network Connectedness:A New Measurement Frameworkwith Application to Global Equity Markets

Bastien Buchwalter, Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

25-008: On the Wisdom of Crowds (of Economists)

Francis Diebold, Aaron Mora and Minchul Shin

25-007: Defensive Hiring and Creative Destruction

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

25-006: High-Speed Rail and China’s Electric Vehicle Adoption Miracle

Hanming Fang, Ming Li, Long Wang and Yang Yang

25-005: Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li, Le Xu and Francesco Zanetti

25-004: Randomization and the Robustness of Linear Contracts

Ashwin Kambhampati, Bo Peng, Zhihao Tang, Juuso Toikka and Rakesh Vohra

25-003: Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus and Frank Schorfheide

25-002: Floods, Community Infrastructure, and Children's Heterogeneous Learning Losses in Rural India

Nazar Khalid, Jere Behrman, Emily Hannum and Amrit Thapa

25-001: Intergenerational Mobility in Depression and Anxiety in India

Justine Herve, Subha Mani, Jere Behrman, Ramanan Laxminarayan and Arindam Nandi

24-038: Macro-Financial Implications of the Surging Global Demand (and Supply) of International Reserves

Vincenzo Quadrini and Enrique Mendoza

24-037: Why Global and Local Solutions of Open-Economy Models with Incomplete Markets Differ and Why it Matters

Oliver de Groot, C. Bora Durdu and Enrique Mendoza

24-036: Scalable versus Productive Technologies

Joachim Hubmer, Mons Chan, Serdar Ozkan, Sergio Salgado and Guangbin Hong

24-035: Information Requirements for Mechanism Design

Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

24-034: Taming the Curse of Dimensionality:Quantitative Economics with Deep Learning

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Galo Nuño Barrau and Jesse Perla

24-033: Commitment and Randomization in Communication

Emir Kamenica and Xiao Lin

24-032: Behavioral Foundations of Model Misspecification

J. Aislinn Bohren and Daniel Hauser

24-031: A Cognitive Foundation for Perceiving Uncertainty

J. Aislinn Bohren, Josh Hascher, Alex Imas, Michael Ungeheuer and Martin Weber

24-030: Over- and Underreaction to Information

Cuimin Ba, J. Aislinn Bohren and Alex Imas

24-029: Starting Strong: Medium- and Longer-run Benefits of Mexico's Universal Preschool Mandate

Jere Behrman, Ricardo Gomez-Carrera, Susan Parker, Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang

24-028: Machine Learning and the Yield Curve:Tree-Based Macroeconomic Regime Switching

Siyu Bie, Francis Diebold, Jingyu He and Junye Li

24-027: Economic Relief in Recession: Poverty and Unemployment Benefits During the Great Depression in Britain

Ivan Luzardo-Luna and Meredith Pake

24-026: Optimal Bailouts in Diversified Financial Networks

Krishna Dasaratha, Santosh Venkatesh and Rakesh Vohra

24-025: Persuasion, Posteriors & Polymatroids

Thanh Nguyen and Rakesh Vohra

24-024: Climate Change through the Lens of Macroeconomic Modeling

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Kenneth Gillingham and Simon Scheidegger

24-023: Shaping Inequality and Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty: Free College or Better Schools

Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig and Irina Popova

24-022: How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?

Dirk Krueger, Egor Malkov and Fabrizio Perri

24-021: Neoclassical Growth with Limited Commitment

Dirk Krueger and Harald Uhlig

24-020: Neoclassical Growth Transition Dynamics with One-Sided Commitment

Dirk Krueger, Fulin Li and Harald Uhlig

24-019: Spooky Boundaries at a Distance: Inductive Bias, Dynamic Models, and Behavioral Macro

Mahdi Ebrahimi Kahou, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Sebastian Gomez-Cardona, Jesse Perla and Jan Rosa

24-018: Labor Unions and Social Insurance

Naoki Aizawa, Hanming Fang, Katsuhiro Komatsu and Zibo Zhao

24-017: Recovering Overlooked Information in Categorical Variables with LLMs: An Application to Labor Market Mismatch

Yi Chen, Hanming Fang, Yi Zhao and Zibo Zhao

24-016: Filtering with Limited Information

Thorsten Drautzburg, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Pablo Guerron-Quintana and Dick Oosthuizen

24-015: Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Tomohide Mineyama and Dongho Song

24-014: Classical Right, New Right, and Voting Behavior:Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Carlos Sanz

24-013: Identifying the Volatility Risk Price Through the Leverage Effect

Xu Cheng, Eric Renault and Paul Sangrey

24-012: Dynamics of High-Growth Young Firms and the Role of Venture Capitalists

Yoshiki Ando

24-011: Food Coma is Real: The Effect of Digestive Fatigue on Adolescents’ Cognitive Performance

Justine Hervé, Subha Mani, Jere Behrman and Ramanan Laxminarayan

24-010: Climate Models Underestimate the Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice to Carbon Emissions

Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch

24-009: The Distributional Effects of Asset Returns

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Oren Levintal

24-008: Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yang Yu and Francesco Zanetti

24-007: Navigating by Falling Stars:Monetary Policy with Fiscally Driven Natural Rates

Rodolfo Campos, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Galo Nuño Barrau and Peter Paz

24-006: Allocation Mechanisms with Mixture-Averse Preferences

David Dillenberger and Uzi Segal

24-005: The Household Equipment Revolution

Effrosyni Adamopoulou, Jeremy Greenwood and Nezih Guner

24-004: Optimal Urban Transportation Policy:Evidence from Chicago

Milena Almagro, Felipe Barbieri, Juan Castillo, Nathaniel Hickok and Tobias Salz

24-003: On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity

Minsu Chang and Frank Schorfheide

24-002: The Wealth of Working Nations

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Gustavo Ventura and Wen Yao

24-001: The Causal Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Macroeconomic Outcomes: Evidence and Theory

Xiwen Bai, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Yiliang Li and Francesco Zanetti

23-021: Female headship and poverty in the Arab region: Analysis of trends and dynamics based on a new typology

Shireen AlAzzawi, Hai-Anh Dang, Vladimir Hlasny, Kseniya Abanokova Kseniya Abanokova and Jere Behrman