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The Boracay Closure: Socioeconomic Consequences and Resilience Management

Celia M. Reyes, Ronina D. Asis, Jose Ramon G. Albert, Ma. Kristina P. Ortiz and Francis Mark A. Quimba

No DP 2018-37, Discussion Papers from Philippine Institute for Development Studies

Abstract: This study investigates the potential economic effects of this recent directive, which is intended to last for six months from May to October 2018. Using secondary data, the study employs an Input-Output and computable general equilibrium model analyses. Three scenarios, which are based on different percentage reductions in the Philippine tourism receipts, are examined to look at the projected losses in total output and compensation, as well as its effects on specific economic sectors. Results show that the aggregate economic loss in total output would range from PHP 20.8 billion to PHP 83.15 billion, while in terms of income, the loss in compensation would range from PHP 7 billion to PHP 27.9 billion. Tourism sectors would be most affected, as well as agriculture and services, albeit slightly. Overall, while the results may not be very significant at the national level, it will still have its direct and indirect effects to people living in the island and in the entire municipality of Malay. The study recommends the need to craft strategic and harmonized overall plan which lays out the various government efforts to safeguard the welfare of those who will be severely affected by the sudden closure of Boracay.

Keywords: environmental sustainability; Boracay closure; Philippine tourism; input-output analysis; computable general equilibrium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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