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A psychologically-based model of voter turnout

Ming Li and Dipjyoti Majumdar

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout. Potential voters experience regret if they fail to vote, which is the motivation for participation in voting. Regret from abstention is inversely related to the margin of victory. Voters on the winner's side experience less regret than those on the loser's side. We show that the unique equilibrium involves positive voter turnout. We show that the losing side has higher turnout. In addition, voter turnout is positively related to importance of the election and the competitiveness of the election. We also consider scenarios in which voters are uncertain about the composition of the electorate's political preferences and show similar phenomena emerge.

Keywords: voter turnout; regret; economics and psychology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D82 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-03, Revised 2008-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-cdm and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: A Psychologically Based Model of Voter Turnout (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: A psychologically-based model of voter turnout (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:10719

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