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Epidemics and Local Demographic Dynamics

Giuseppe Schinaia

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The investigation of the interactions between the demographic dynamics of a healthy population and the perturbations induced in it by the progession of an epidemics is the object of this study. A SIR epidemic model is progressively enriched with demographic features, such as birth-death imbalance, disease-induced deaths, vertical transmission and infectious immigration and its equilibria are investigated. A statistical setting is then established in order to test the relevance of the demographic features of the various modelling hypotheses.

Keywords: demographic dynamics; SIR epidemic model; basic reproduction number; immigration; vertical transmission; disease-free equilibrium; estimation; hypothesis testing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C62 I1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-03
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